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RVO surges as D6 RINs rally on court ruling

  • Market: Biofuels, Oil products
  • 07/02/20

The Argus Renewable Volume Obligation (RVO) has surged by 59pc over 14 consecutive sessions, buoyed by a court ruling that struck down three small refinery exemptions (SREs) issued by the Environmental Protection Agency.

Compliance costs under the Renewable Fuel Standard (RFS), as measured by the Argus RVO, have surged by 1.5¢/USG since 17 January to 4.04¢/USG yesterday, surpassing the 4¢/USG mark for the first time since June 2018.

The Argus RVO retreated slightly by midday today, falling by 0.14¢/USG to 3.9¢/USG.

RIN prices began rising when traders perceived a December D3 RIN shortage. The rally continued after the US 10th Circuit Court of Appeals on 24 January ruled to nullify multiple SREs.

Current year ethanol D6 RINs have increased by more than 50pc since 24 January, rising by 8.4¢/RIN to trade at 24¢/RIN before midday today.

Meanwhile, current year D3 RIN prices increased from 80.5¢/RIN on 17 January to trade as high as 157¢/RIN yesterday, a gain of 76¢/RIN.

D3 RIN prices seemed to fall off slightly by midday today, with 2020 vintage D3 RINs valued flat to 2019 vintage D3 credits, which traded at 155¢/RIN.

RFS requires refiners, importers and other companies to each year ensure minimum volumes of renewables are blended into gasoline and diesel they add to US road fuel supply. Obligated parties prove compliance by acquiring RINs representing each biofuel-equivalent gallon of physically blended fuel. Parties may either blend fuel or acquire RINs through trade.

Poor biodiesel production economics, as measured by the heating oil-soybean oil (HOBO) spread, also has driven the need forhigher D4 RIN credits to incentivize blending more expensive biomass-based biodiesel into conventional diesel.

Biomass-based diesel D4 RINs with 2020 vintage rose by 19¢/RIN to 49.25¢/RIN between 24 January and yesterday. Prices have climbed 24.5pc since so far this year, a period in which the HOBO spread fell by 8¢/USG to -68¢/USG, a level not seen since November 2017.

D4 credits fell slightly before midday, with bids at 46¢/RIN and offers at 49¢/RIN.

As the RFS compliance deadline at the end of March approaches, RIN values are not likely to lose momentum. Obligated parties continue to seek RINs to reach their obligated volumes before then.


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26/09/24

Eastern US ports, railroads prepare for possible strike

Eastern US ports, railroads prepare for possible strike

Cheyenne, 26 September (Argus) — Ports in the eastern half of the US and railroads CSX and Norfolk Southern are starting to act on contingency plans as the deadline for a potential port worker labor strike nears. Port authorities in New York, New Jersey, Virginia, New Orleans, Louisiana, and Houston, Texas, have told customers at least some operations will stop effective 30 September if the International Longshoremen's Association (ILA) and US Maritime Alliance (USMX) cannot come to a new collective bargaining agreement. Union members have threatened to walk off the job as soon as 1 October, potentially bringing container cargo traffic to a halt in many regions. Other port authorities have been more circumspect on plans. The Maryland Port Authority, which oversees the Port of Baltimore, has said so far that it is "closely monitoring" the situation and that a strike "could impact" some operations. At the moment, ILA and USMX do not appear to be close to an agreement on a master labor contract. USMX today filed an unfair labor practice charge against ILA with the National Labor Relations Board, accusing the union of "repeated refusal" to negotiate. The union earlier this week said the two sides have talked "multiple times" and blamed the impasse on USMX continually offering "an unacceptable wage increase package." Container cargoes at greatest risk The potential port strike is expected to have the greatest impact on products carried on container ships. Movements of dry bulk cargo, such as coal and grains, are expected to be less affected by a potential work stoppage, though there could be side effects from the congestion of other products being rerouted to ports not affected by the strike. Some ports that have announced contingency plans expect to stop work on 30 September in stages. The Port of Virginia — including Norfolk International Terminals, Virginia International Gateway and Newport News Marine Terminal — would stop train deliveries at 8am ET on 30 September and require all vessels at the port to leave by 1pm. Container operations at Norfolk International Terminals and Virginia International Gateway would stop by 6pm ET that day, the port said. The New Orleans Terminal at the Port of New Orleans would stop receiving refrigerated exports at 5pm ET on 27 September and halt container vessel operations at 1pm ET on 30 September. It would also halt rail operations at 5pm ET on 30 September. Eastern railroads CSX and Norfolk Southern (NS) already have started curtailing some operations. CSX required temperature-controlled refrigerated equipment headed to East coast ports to be at CSX loadouts by 25 September and set deadlines for other export intermodal shipments to be at CSX loadouts by 25 September-5 October. NS required some eastern export shipments be at the railroad's loadout locations between 23-25 September and wants most of the rest of the container exports to be at its facilities by 5pm on 29 September. "We are proactively implementing measures to minimize potential operational impacts across our network, including at our Intermodal facilities," NS said on 23 September. The railroad also "strongly" recommended that customers not ship hazardous, high-value and refrigerated products by rail to export terminals "to avoid unexpected delays upon reaching the port destinations." By Courtney Schlisserman Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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Low Argentina rivers lift Brazil biodiesel


26/09/24
News
26/09/24

Low Argentina rivers lift Brazil biodiesel

Sao Paulo, 26 September (Argus) — A drop in river levels in Argentina's Parana upriver region amid a historical drought has snarled transport and inflated soybean oil and biodiesel prices in Brazil. The depth of the Parana River in Argentina's San Lorenzo city, a major hub for soybean oil shipments, dropped to 9.44m (30ft) on 20 September, the lowest level since January 2023, according to information provided by maritime agencies T&T and Antares. The lower river flow is forcing soybean oil traders to reduce how much product they load onto tankers that stop at Argentinian ports by between 5-12.5pc, according to Argentina market sources. A 12.5pc capacity reduction on a standard tanker would mean a loading 28,000 metric tonnes (t) instead of 32,000t. These restrictions have affected the Brazilian soybean oil and biodiesel market, as trading companies seek additional volumes in Brazilian seaports to complete shipments for export. A change in Chicago Board of Trade (CBOT) differentials at the port of Paranagua was first observed on 27 September, when the premium for selling soybean oil for shipment in October rose to 8¢/lb in relation to the future contract traded on the CBOT. Earlier in the week, offers were close to 1.8¢/lb. On 25 September, negotiations ranged between premiums of 2.5-5.5¢/lb in relation to the soybean oil future contract due in October, corresponding to prices between $1,034-1,100/t fob Paranagua. Last week, the Argus fob Paranagua indicator closed between $934-1,009/t. Soybean availability in the Brazilian market is reduced amid strong demand in the domestic market, driven by an increase in the biodiesel blending mandate to 14pc from 12pc in March. The rise in domestic demand has also reduced the competitiveness of Brazilian exports, contributing to a drop in soybean oil shipments to ports. Brazil's association of vegetable oil industries Abiove predicts that 2024 exports will total 1.15mn t, nearly half of the volumes dispatched in 2023. Lever effect The low availability of soybean oil in the Brazilian market was concerning market participants even before the deterioration of the situation in Argentina. The price of soybean oil for export is the main factor in the price equation for most supply contracts between biodiesel producers and distributors. Logistics problems associated with a lower Parana River contribute to the imbalance between increased demand for soybean oil in the biodiesel sector and a shortage of product in the market. Soybean oil is the main input for biodiesel production in Brazil, accounting for 72.5pc of all feedstocks used in national production in the first eight months of 2024, according to data from hydrocarbons regulator ANP. And rising soybean oil prices tend to boost prices of other raw materials, such as beef tallow, which represented 6.5pc of biodiesel inputs in the same period. Faced with the rising cost of inputs, Brazilian biodiesel plants have been prioritizing the delivery of volumes contracted for the September-October supply period and the delivery of overdue volumes for the previous bi-monthly period. That has limited the availability of spot market volumes. This sudden rise in the price of soybean oil in Paranagua has also reduced the domestic market premium in relation to the export market. This makes it more attractive for regional producers to sell product abroad. By Amance Boutin and Joao Marinho Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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Aug wildfires in Brazilian state surge eightfold


26/09/24
News
26/09/24

Aug wildfires in Brazilian state surge eightfold

Sao Paulo, 26 September (Argus) — Fires in Sao Paulo, Brazil's most populous state, increased eightfold in August from the same month last year, an "alarming rate" amid extreme climate conditions that harm the sugarcane industry, sector associations said. The state had 11,628 fire outbreaks last month, more than triple the historic average of 3,550. Nearly half of the fires took place on 23 August alone, according to data from industry association Canaoeste and fire monitoring network GMG Ambiental. Fires hit 658,600 hectares. The town of Pitangueira had the most blazes, at 354. Altinopolis and Sertaozinho came in second and third, with 252 and 296, respectively. Nearly all of the most affected towns have high production of sugarcane. The groups highlighted that 20-24 August fires happened as low humidity, high temperatures and strong winds put Sao Paulo in "extreme risk" for wildfires. The data was shown in a meeting with several industry representatives, such as Canoeste, Unica and Orplana. The groups added that sugarcane producers were not responsible for the fires nor were benefiting from them, defending themselves from accusations that they could be lighting fires to accelerate harvesting — an old common practice supposedly abolished. By Maria Ligia Barros Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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US trucking index at 18-month high in August: ATA


25/09/24
News
25/09/24

US trucking index at 18-month high in August: ATA

Houston, 25 September (Argus) — US trucking freight volumes rose in August to the highest level since February 2023, the American Trucking Association (ATA) said. The ATA's seasonally adjusted Truck Tonnage Index (TTI) rose in August by 1.8pc from a month earlier and by 0.7pc from a year earlier. The index has increased on a monthly and yearly basis only twice in the past 18 months, last doing so in May 2024 . August's "robust gain" indicates freight levels are rebounding from a bottom, according to ATA economist Bob Costello. The TTI's month-to-month movement so far this year also shows the freight market is "at an inflection point," Costello said. The US trucking industry contracted in 2023 and initially got off to a slow start this year. Last week, the Federal Reserve cut its target lending rates for the first time in four years , suggesting the worst inflationary pressures may be over. The TTI is calculated monthly using a survey of ATA membership to estimate seasonally-adjusted trends in the value of US truck freight. Trucking comprises roughly three-quarters of tonnage carried by all modes of transportation in the US, and so can serve as an indicator of the health of the transportation sector and the economy at large. By Gordon Pollock Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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Vertex Energy files for bankruptcy, seeks sale


25/09/24
News
25/09/24

Vertex Energy files for bankruptcy, seeks sale

Houston, 25 September (Argus) — Specialty refiner Vertex Energy has filed for chapter 11 bankruptcy in a US court following a failed foray into renewable fuels production at its 88,000 b/d Mobile, Alabama, refinery. Vertex has entered into a restructuring support agreement with its lenders and secured $80mn of new funding to finance its day-to-day business operations, the company said late Tuesday. The refiner is also considering a "more value-maximizing sale transaction" and expects to confirm its chapter 11 bankruptcy plan by the end of the year, according to the 24 September press release. Vertex announced in May this year that it would "pause" renewable diesel production at its Alabama refinery and return the unit to producing fossil fuel products. The company later said it would use a third quarter turnaround to return the Alabama plant's converted hydrocracking unit to processing fossil fuel feedstocks and be back online in the fourth quarter. Vertex also operates a re-refinery near New Orleans, Louisiana, that produces low-sulfur vacuum gas oil (VGO) and multiple used motor oil (UMO) processing plants and collection facilities along the Gulf coast. Refiners have faced mixed fortunes in recent years with their investments in renewable fuels after a glut of new supply flooded markets and depressed renewable credit prices. US independent refiner Delek announced in August that it is temporarily idling three biodiesel plants in Texas, Arkansas and Mississippi as it explores alternative uses for the sites. Chevron said earlier this year it was indefinitely closing two biodiesel plants in Wisconsin and Iowa due to market conditions. By Nathan Risser Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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