US rail crude loadings tumble as prices decline

  • Market: Agriculture, Biofuels, Chemicals, Coal, Crude oil, Feedgrade minerals, Fertilizers, Metals, Oil products, Petrochemicals, Petroleum coke
  • 01/04/20

US railroad shipments of petroleum have dropped as crude and refined products prices fall to the lowest level in more than a decade.

US railroad loadings of petroleum and related products during the week ended on 28 March dropped by 11pc compared with the same week in 2019. A month earlier, during the week ended on 29 February, volume was up year on year by 13pc.

Despite last week's reductions, full-month loadings in March for petroleum and related products were up by 3.5pc compared with the same time in 2019. Until March, railcar shipments of petroleum and related products had consistently increased year on year.

Canadian volumes also have fallen since hitting all-time highs earlier in 2020. Railcar loadings during the week ended on 28 March were down by 3.7pc compared with a year earlier.

US benchmark crude prices fell to near $20/bl this week, the lowest since February 2002. US Gulf coast conventional gasoline prices last week dropped to the lowest level in more than 21 years. Negative profit margins for making gasoline have prompted Gulf coast refiners to cut runs by 20pc-30pc, approaching the 60pc-65pc minimum run rates.

That has affected tank car loadings of petroleum and related products, according to new data from the Association of American Railroads (AAR).

"The recent collapse in oil prices is hurting rail shipments of petroleum products, fractionation sand and steel products," AAR senior vice president John Gray said.

Automobile and parts shipments continued to drop sharply because manufacturing has been curtailed.

The number of railcars loaded in the US with automobiles and auto parts fell by 70pc last week, according to AAR data. The week before that, rail volume fell by 7.1pc. And the week before that, automotive loadings rose year on year by 6.6pc.

"Rail traffic numbers confirm that the coronavirus is taking a toll on the economy," Gray said.

Overall, US railroads loaded 449,767 carloads and intermodal units during the week ended 28 March, down by 12pc compared with the same period last year. A week prior, during the week ended on 21 March, volume was down by only 8.6pc.

"While there remain more unknowns than knowns about the next few months, there are tidbits of encouraging news," Gray said.

March was the best month for rail chemical carloads in two years. Grain railcars loaded in March were up compared to March 2019, the first time in a year that has occurred.

Coal loadings did increase last week by 0.1pc compared with the same week in 2019, but the comparison was skewed because shipments in spring 2019 were delayed by heaving flooding in the midcontinent.


Sharelinkedin-sharetwitter-sharefacebook-shareemail-share

Related news posts

Argus illuminates the markets by putting a lens on the areas that matter most to you. The market news and commentary we publish reveals vital insights that enable you to make stronger, well-informed decisions. Explore a selection of news stories related to this one.

News

Petroecuador expects more crude with fewer wells


01/07/24
News
01/07/24

Petroecuador expects more crude with fewer wells

Quito, 1 July (Argus) — State-owned oil company Petroecuador will drill fewer wells this year than first planned but still expects to produce 5,000 b/d more crude than initially forecast for 2024, according to the work plan of interim chief executive Diego Guerrero. Petroecuador plans to drill 90 wells this year, including 27 drilled through May and 63 planned for the rest of the year — well below the 156 wells initially forecast under former chief executive Marcela Reinoso , who resigned in May. But the company expects crude output to average 390,000 b/d by December, according to Guerrero's plans, higher than the 370,000 b/d estimate made before he took office, and up from 369,000 b/d reported for June. Ecuador is expected to lose about 50,000 b/d come 1 September when it shuts down the Ishpingo, Tambococha and Tiputini (ITT) fields in block 43 after Ecuadorians voted to end oil activities in the environmentally sensitive region. Guerrero's plan did not break out how much output it expects from ITT this year. Petroecuador did not respond to a request for comment. Reinoso told the national assembly in February that without ITT, Petroecuador's production would fall to 358,500 b/d in September before rising again to 373,300 b/d in December, leading to a 2024 average of about 385,000 b/d. But petroleum engineers' association vice-president Fernando Reyes said that both the new and old goals for December production are too optimistic without ITT. After a 50,000 b/d drop with the end of ITT production, Reyes believes under a best-case scenario new drilling could add 20,000–30,000 b/d of production, bringing December output to 360,000-370,000 b/d. But Guerrero's higher projections are feasible if Petroecuador keeps pumping crude from ITT, Reyes said. Ecuadorian president Daniel Noboa in January proposed a one-year delay on plans to end drilling in the ITT, but the plan has not advanced. Guerrero's work plan also includes new projects to recover associated gas from the Sacha Norte 2, Sacha Central, Drago and Shushufindi fields, and also workovers in four wells in the offshore Amistad natural gas field. Petroecuador produced 81pc of Ecuador's crude output of 484,499 b/d in May. By Alberto Araujo Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

News

Tata Steel BF to stay on as Unite suspends strike


01/07/24
News
01/07/24

Tata Steel BF to stay on as Unite suspends strike

London, 1 July (Argus) — Union Unite has agreed to suspend its "indefinite" strike action which was due to start at Tata Steel site on July 8. Tata had said it would need to prematurely close blast furnace four (BF4) this week due to safety and operational concerns if the strike went ahead. Blast furnace five is being taken down, in line with the company's earlier plan. In a note to Unite members seen by Argus today, Unite representatives said they had decided to suspend all action, including "working to rule, overtime ban and strike action" after talks with Tata over the weekend. "We welcome Unite's decision to withdraw their strike action and get back around the table with their sister steel unions", Alun Davies, national officer for Community Union, said. "Tata confirmed that if the strike was called off they are ready to resume discussions on a potential MOU (memorandum of understanding), through the multi-union steel community," he added. Tata has commenced legal action to challenge the validity of Unite's ballot and a court hearing is scheduled for 3 July, Tata Steel UK chief executive officer Rajesh Nair said in a note to Tata employees on 28 June. Tata had met with Unite on 28 June, where the union confirmed it would provide "minimum safety cover" at Port Talbot and Llanwern during the strike, but Nair said this was "not sufficient" to allow safe operations, and the closure of the furnaces and heavy end would start this week. However, sources expect BF4 and the steel plant will continue running now the threat of imminent strike action has been withdrawn. By Colin Richardson Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

News

Shale to emerge leaner from M&A boom


01/07/24
News
01/07/24

Shale to emerge leaner from M&A boom

New York, 1 July (Argus) — The recent flurry of deals in the US shale patch is poised to deliver significant productivity gains, potentially offsetting a drilling slowdown and suggesting that it might well be a mistake to bet against the sector any time soon. Ownership of top shale basins, such as the Permian in west Texas and New Mexico, is increasingly falling into the hands of fewer but larger operators, with the necessary resources to chase technology breakthroughs and drive economies of scale that could support further output growth. The flood of deal-making comes as shale growth is likely to slow after defying all expectations last year. Even as acquirers look to fine-tune their combined portfolios and slow activity in favour of shareholder returns, they will still be targeting ever longer lateral wells that reduce the need for more rigs and hydraulic fracturing (fracking) crews. Fracking multiple wells at the same time and shifting to electric fleets will also help them become more efficient. All in all, shale could continue to be a thorn in Opec's side for years to come. Underestimate US shale at your peril was the title of a recent report from analysts at bank HSBC. "We expect the mergers and acquisitions to result in substantial capital efficiencies," they wrote. Concentrated operations have reduced inefficiencies in the supply chain, and the elimination of downtime has also helped producers become leaner, according to consultancy Wood Mackenzie. But costs remain 15-30pc higher than 2020-21 levels, suggesting scope for further improvements. And while efficiency gains will inevitably become exhausted at some point, opportunities to tackle unproductive processes might still crop up. "The will and the technology are there for some operators, who should be able to keep cutting capex while modestly growing and maintaining shareholder distributions for a while to come," Wood Mackenzie research director for the Lower 48 Maria Peacock says. ExxonMobil flagged $2bn in annual savings from its $64.5bn takeover of shale giant Pioneer, with two-thirds to come from improved resource recovery and the rest from efficiencies. Leading US independent ConocoPhillips says improved technology will help it extend its inventory of top-quality drilling locations in both the Eagle Ford and Bakken basins after its $22.5bn tie-up with Marathon Oil. Return to spender Productivity gains are hardly the preserve of firms that have been active participants in the $200bn of shale deals seen over the past year. For example, US independent EOG, which has sat out the mergers and acquisitions (M&A) boom so far, plans to deliver the same level of growth for this year as seen in 2023 with four fewer rigs and two fewer fracking fleets. "Technology has evolved so much that you can go and drill horizontal wells in these and exploit that technology and you can get just absolutely outstanding returns," chief operating officer Jeff Leitzell says. Still, almost half of oil and gas executives recently polled by the Dallas Federal Reserve think that US oil output will be "slightly lower" if consolidation continues over the next five years. But the answer differed by company size. All executives from E&P firms that produce 100,000 b/d or more envisaged "no impact". Service company executives are more concerned: "Consolidation by E&P firms has curtailed investment in exploration," one said. "Our hope is that it's a temporary situation that will work itself out as the integration is completed." And even though the prolific Permian basin is due to peak before the end of the decade, analysts forecast robust growth in the intervening years. Relatively high oil prices that remain above breakeven costs and efficiency gains — which will shift the mix of wells to newer and more productive ones — will be the main drivers, according to bank Goldman Sachs. By Stephen Cunningham US tight oil production Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

News

ASD completes purchase of Atlantic Steel Processing


01/07/24
News
01/07/24

ASD completes purchase of Atlantic Steel Processing

London, 1 July (Argus) — UK general steel distributor ASD has acquired the assets of Birkenhead-based decoiler Atlantic Steel Processing out of administration. The group, now owned by Spain's Hierros Anon, said the acquisition will enhance its presence in the UK's northwest and give it cost-effective access to the Irish markets — previously Ireland was an important region for Atlantic. Atlantic also introduces new products to ASD, in the form of decoiled hot-rolled sheet and reversing mill plate. Atlantic has the widest decoiling line in Europe, Yoder, capable of processing 2.5m-wide material. Hierros Anon has been on something of an acquisition spree of late, recently acquiring four country operations from Kloeckner, including ASD in the UK. Atlantic fell into administration on 3 May , as first reported by Argus . The business was affected by a difficult UK hot-rolled coil (HRC) and sheet market, and had a lack of cash after a management buyout in 2022. Continued difficult market conditions are likely to see more consolidation in the service centre and decoiling markets in the coming weeks, sources said. By Colin Richardson Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Generic Hero Banner

Business intelligence reports

Get concise, trustworthy and unbiased analysis of the latest trends and developments in oil and energy markets. These reports are specially created for decision makers who don’t have time to track markets day-by-day, minute-by-minute.

Learn more