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US lawmakers counter Mexican regulatory bias

  • Market: Crude oil, Electricity, LPG, Natural gas, Oil products, Petrochemicals
  • 23/10/20

Preferential treatment for Mexico's state-owned companies threatens US energy investment and may violate the two countries' free trade agreement, Texas' two senators and 41 other lawmakers told the White House.

Mexico's president in September called on the country's energy regulatory agencies to prioritize the work of state-owned oil company Pemex and power company CFE, although the country's 2014 energy reform aimed to level the playing field for other companies after decades of government monopolies. Yet president Andres Manuel Lopez Obrador has long opposed the energy reform passed by his predecessor, and his Morena party has proposed rolling back the constitutionally enshrined changes that allowed for private investment in the sector.

The bipartisan group of US lawmakers complained of Mexico "delaying or cancelling outright permits for US energy companies," in the letter yesterday addressed to US president Donald Trump. It cited anecdotal experiences and echoed complaints from market participants, as well as a letter the American Petroleum Institute sent in June.

Evidence that Mexico's government is providing preferential regulatory treatment to Pemex and CFE includes a leaked memo from Lopez Obrador directing regulators to "use all available resources within the regulatory framework" to protect the state companies, the lawmakers said.

"These efforts violate and contradict the spirit, if not the letter," of the US Mexico Canada (USMCA) free trade agreement, the lawmakers said. "Therefore, we are deeply concerned that these actions demonstrate a pattern of obstruction."

Mexico is the largest single export market for US refined products as well as natural gas exports.

Lawmakers who signed the letter include senators John Cornyn (R) and Ted Cruz (R), and Democratic representatives Henry Cuellar and Lizzie Fletcher, all of Texas — Mexico's main trading partner among the US states. Cruz especially had often sided on key issues with Trump, who faces an election against Democratic presidential candidate Joe Biden on 3 November.

Lopez's Morena party faces mid-term elections next June, and is aiming to win the two-third majority of congress which would ease passage of constitutional changes such as reversing the energy reform. Constitutional changes also require a simple majority vote in Mexico's state legislatures.

The Mexican president began reversing some implementation of the energy reform immediately after taking office, including cancelling planned rounds of upstream exploration and production rights. The reform did not bring lower energy prices and investment has fallen short of promises, Lopez Obrador has said.

But investors — both foreign and domestic — complain that the regulatory uncertainty of the Lopez Obrador presidency has undermined their efforts.

"US companies have invested billions of dollars in midstream and retail infrastructure in Mexico to the benefit of both countries," said Chet Thompson, president of the American Fuel and Petrochemical Manufacturers trade group in response to the letter. "However, this good progress is now in jeopardy based on the Mexican government's preferential treatment of Pemex and their actions to delay or even cancel permits for US energy companies."

Mexico's courts have provided a counterweight recently against some of the government's proposals to favor state companies, particularly in the power sector. The supreme court suspended a policy that favored state-owned generation, although the state power utility has also redrawn grid dispatch rules that would favor state-owned hydroelectric generation in a separate effort.

By Carla Bass


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07/04/25

Flooding on US rivers mires barge transit

Flooding on US rivers mires barge transit

Houston, 7 April (Argus) — Barge transit slowed across the Arkansas, Ohio and lower Mississippi rivers over the weekend because of flooding, which prompted the US Army Corps of Engineers (Corps) to close locks and issue transit restrictions along the waterways. The Corps advised all small craft to limit or halt transit on the McClellan-Kerr Arkansas River Navigation System (MCKARNS) in Arkansas because flows reached above 200,000 cubic feet per second (cfs), nearly three times the high-water flow. The heavy flow is expected to persist throughout the week, posing risks to those transiting the river system, said the Corps. Some barges have halted movement on the river, temporarily miring fertilizer resupply efforts in Arkansas and Oklahoma in the middle of the urea application season. The Corps forecasts high flows to continue into Friday, and the National Weather Service predicts several locations along the MCKARNS will maintain a moderate to minor flood stage into Friday as well. Both the Arthur V Ormond Lock and the Toad Suck Ferry Lock, upriver from Little Rock, Arkansas, shut on 6 April because of the high flows. Flows along the Little Rock Corps district reached 271,600cfs on 7 April. The Corps forecasts high flows to continue into Friday. Ohio and lower Mississippi rivers The Corps restricted barge transit between Cincinnati, Ohio, and Cairo, Illinois, on the Ohio River to mitigate barge transportation risks, with the Corps closing two locks on the Ohio River on 6 April and potentially four more in the coming days. Major barge carrier American Commercial Barge Line (ACBL) anticipates dock and fleeting operations will be suspended at certain locations along the Mississippi and Ohio rivers as a result of the flooding. NWS forecasters anticipate major flooding levels to persist through the following week. Barge carriers also expect a backlog of up to two weeks in the region. To alleviate flooding at Cairo, Illinois, where the Ohio and Mississippi Rivers meet, the Corps increased water releases at the Barkley Dam on the Cumberland River and the Kentucky Dam on the Tennessee River. The Markland Lock, downriver from Cincinnati, Ohio, and the Newburgh lock near Owensboro, Kentucky, closed on 6 April. The Corps expects the full closure to remain until each location reaches its crest of nearly 57ft, which could occur on 8 or 9 April, according to the National Weather Service (NWS). Around 50 vessels or more are waiting to transit each lock, according to the Lock Status Report published by the Corps on 7 April. The Corps also shut a chamber at both Cannelton and McAlpine locks. The John T Myers and Smithland locks may close on 7 April as well, the Corps said. The Olmsted Lock, the final lock before the Ohio and Mississippi rivers, will require a 3mph limit for any traffic passing through. The NWS expects roughly 10-15 inches of precipitation fell along the Ohio and Mississippi River valleys earlier this month, inducing severe flooding across the Ohio and Mississippi River valleys. A preliminary estimate from AccuWeather stated an estimated loss of $80-90bn in damages from the extreme flooding. By Meghan Yoyotte Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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Colombia's renewables grow, but gap looms


07/04/25
News
07/04/25

Colombia's renewables grow, but gap looms

Bogota, 7 April (Argus) — Development of non-conventional renewable (NCRE) generation has picked up in Colombia, but the pace is still not fast enough to cover a projected generation shortage by 2027-2028. Colombia will likely reach 2.55GW in installed NCRE such as solar and wind — excluding large hydropower — by the end of 2025, up from 1.88GW at the end of 2024, Colombian renewable association SER director Alexandra Hernandez told Argus at the Colombia Genera conference held last week in Cartagena. About 670MW from 19 medium and large NCRE plants worth $500mn will likely come online in 2025, Hernandez noted. Of that total, 30MW in two projects came online in January, and the balance of 640MW are under construction, according to Hernandez. The plants will reduce emissions by 1.1mn metric tonnes (t) CO2/yr compared with conventional generation. For 2026, 419MW in NCRE could come online. NCRE will comprise a 12pc share of Colombia's generation capacity in 2025, up from 10pc in 2024. Despite that, Colombia will fail to meet its target of 6GW in NCRE by August 2026, when the administration of President Gustavo Petro ends, former minister of mines and energy Amylkar Acosta said. Colombia will likely will end 2026 with 3GW, Hernandez noted. This comes despite Petro's support for renewable energy and attempts to phase out hydrocarbons use. Much of this development is focused on the dry, windswept department of La Guajira that borders Venezuela and juts into the Caribbean. US firm AES' will start building the first 259MW phase of its 1.1GW Jemeiwaa Ka'I wind complex there later this year, AES's general manager Federico Echavarria said at the Colombia Genera conference. "Our biggest bet is La Guajira," Echavarria said. Last year, Colombia's environmental regulator Anla approved a transmission line connecting 648MW of planned wind capacity in the La Guajira area to the national grid. The 500kV Casa Electrica-Colectora transmission line and substation will connect with Grupo de Energia de Bogota's 500kV Colectora transmission line. Colectora has begun construction and should come online in 2026, a delay from its original 2022 start date. La Guajira has Colombia's greatest renewable power potential, including 21GW of wind power potential, according to state planning agency UPME. But delays to key transmission projects and lengthy community consultations impeded development. Italian power company Enel suspended indefinitely construction of a 205MW wind farm in the Windpeschi region, but state-controlled oil company Ecopetrol is seeking authorization to buy it. Projects advancing in other departments include the 200MW Orquidea solar project in the Caribbean province of Bolivar, which recently earned an environmental permit that clears the way for construction. Running out of time But this new generation capacity will not cover an expected supply shortfall. Colombia is forecast to have a gap of around 2,000MW by 2027-2028 assuming baseline consumption, and 3,000MW-6,000MW if demand rises further, several electricity associations have said. Renewables could help fill this gap, as the construction is fairly quick once permits as security, the renewables group SER said. But 47pc of renewable power companies were unable to complete their planned investments in 2024, with permitting delays among the top reason, the group found in a member survey. Permits from the government's mining and planning unit UPME takes nine months, compared with the two months stipulated by the law. Regional entities take twice as long to issue a permit than the legal limit. The government will push to do more, energy and mines minister Edwin Palma said in Cartagena. "We are convinced and committed to ensuring that expansion projects are carried out," he said. "We will work with the ministry of the interior to expedite licenses." By Diana Delgado Colombia's power generation mix % Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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US producers look overseas as shale stalls


07/04/25
News
07/04/25

US producers look overseas as shale stalls

New York, 7 April (Argus) — US shale producers are seeking to deploy their expertise around hydraulic fracturing in international markets, in a marked departure from their recent strategy and one that is set to accelerate as domestic output slows. Continental Resources — whose billionaire founder and executive chairman Harold Hamm was one of the driving forces behind the shale revolution after figuring out how to unlock the vast resources of North Dakota's Bakken basin with horizontal drilling — recently announced plans to explore for unconventional resources in Turkey. And EOG Resources aims to kick-start a drilling campaign in Bahrain. Early successes could prompt a scramble by peers to follow suit, which would be a reversal of the trend seen in the early days of the shale boom when the industry largely retrenched from overseas investments to concentrate on exploiting domestic plays. And while decisions to venture abroad have been mainly based on individual company strategies up until now — and investors have been lukewarm at best — forecasts for shale to start plateauing in the coming years could lend them greater impetus. "Maybe, as they have success, that will draw others in," energy investment firm Bison Interests chief investment officer and founder Josh Young says. "It could be the start of something big." The caveat is that a potential international push at scale is unlikely to happen overnight, and companies such as Murphy Oil and APA — which already have exploration campaigns under way from Vietnam to Ivory Coast and Suriname — have underperformed compared with their rivals. "You are not seeing that market acceptance or market credit for international projects," Young says. That perception may shift if international exploration yields above-average returns for shareholders, boosting the case for producers to seek to build out their inventory further afield as growth in the shale patch slowly grinds to a halt. International exploration may have its own risks, given shale's success story has largely been confined to the US and Argentina to date. But the "cost of entry is relatively low compared to a North American landscape with little room for exploration and high premiums for solid assets in the Permian", consultancy Rystad Energy vice-president for North America oil and gas Matthew Bernstein says. Hamm, who took Continental private more than two years ago after tiring of public markets, recently warned that US shale is beginning to plateau . "What we really need to concentrate on is where we go as we crest right here in America, what the downside looks like," he told the CERAWeek by S&P Global conference in Houston. He also signalled a greater openness to drill outside North America. Talking Turkey Continental recently announced a joint venture with Turkey's national oil company and US-based TransAtlantic Petroleum to develop oil and gas resources in southeast and northwest Turkey. State-owned Turkish Petroleum has pegged initial estimates from the Diyarbakir basin in the southeast that could reach 6bn bl of oil and 12 trillion-20 trillion ft³ (340bn-570bn m³) of gas. The Thrace basin in northwest Turkey may hold up to 20 trillion-45 trillion ft³. "We see immense potential in Turkey's untapped resources," Continental's chief executive, Doug Lawler, says. And in February, EOG Resources announced a tie-in with state-owned Bapco Energies to evaluate a gas prospect in Bahrain. EOG will take on the role of operator, and the venture is awaiting further government approvals. "The formation has previously been tested using horizontal technology, delivering positive results," EOG chief executive Ezra Yacob says. By deploying its existing skillset around horizontal drilling and completions, EOG is confident of achieving results that are competitive with projects in its domestic portfolio. By Stephen Cunningham Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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Asian governments hold fire on tariff retaliation


07/04/25
News
07/04/25

Asian governments hold fire on tariff retaliation

Singapore, 7 April (Argus) — Governments in Asia-Pacific have so far not followed China's lead by retaliating against US president Donald Trump's import tariffs, even as they warn of the potential for long-term economic disruption. The leaders of Vietnam, Malaysia, Indonesia, Taiwan and Singapore said over the weekend that they are not planning to respond in kind to the US tariffs. The restrained reactions came despite China's decision to match Trump's targeted tariffs with duties of 34pc on all imports from the US. China's tariffs, announced late last week, take effect on 10 April, a day after what Trump is calling his "reciprocal" duties on a range of countries. Countries in Asia-Pacific have been hit with some of the highest of Trump's targeted duties. Vietnam, which is facing one of the highest targeted tariff rates of any country at 46pc, is considering removing all its own tariffs on US imports, Trump said following a call with To Lam, general secretary of Vietnam's communist party, on 4 April. The offer has not been officially confirmed by Hanoi. Vietnam benefitted from the tariffs that Trump imposed on China during his first term in office, as some manufacturing and exports were shifted to the country. That helped send its trade surplus with the US to a record $123bn last year, the third-highest of any single country behind China and Mexico, according to US customs data. Malaysia, which faces a 24pc tariff, will not levy retaliatory duties, prime minister Anwar Ibrahim said on 6 April. The US duties are a major threat to the world economy and could force Kuala Lumpur to reduce its forecast for gross domestic product (GDP) growth this year, he warned. The direct impact of the US tariffs on commodity exporters like Malaysia and its neighbour Indonesia has been reduced by the extensive exemptions announced for energy, metals and other commodities. Still, the prospect of a global economic slowdown and disruption to trade flows threatens to have a major impact. Despite their measured approach, governments of emerging Asian economies may struggle to quickly negotiate lower tariffs given Trump's focus on reducing bilateral trade deficits, analysts at UK bank Barclays said on 7 April. The bank has reduced its 2025 forecast for GDP growth in emerging Asia by 0.2 percentage points to 3.3pc and warned of the risk of deeper cuts. Australia eyes price hit The government of Australia, another large commodity exporter, warned on 7 April that the uncertainty caused by Trump's tariffs could reduce consumer confidence and potentially damage the budget by causing a decline in commodity prices. Trump's so-called "liberation day" tariffs are more significant than expected when it released its budget in March, the Australian Treasury said in its economic and fiscal outlook released ahead of federal elections next month. The direct impact of the tariffs on Australia would be limited, but indirect effects would be larger because of the hit imposed on the country's major trading partners, including China, it said. "The potential magnitude and persistence of the economic effects of these announcements has resulted in greater-than-usual uncertainty around the outlook," the Treasury said. Trump has targeted Australia with the minimum 10pc tariff, but this could still disrupt its exports of beef and tallow, among other products. Australian prime minister Anthony Albanese has also pledged not to retaliate with tariffs on US imports. Japan and South Korea, long-standing allies which nevertheless have been singled out for higher US tariff rates of 24pc and 25pc respectively, have also indicated they will not respond in kind. The US accounted for almost 19pc of South Korea's total exports in 2024, including passenger cars, auto parts and lithium-ion batteries. Seoul is considering measures to support its automobile industry in the wake of the tariffs, the trade and industry ministry said. India, which faces a 26pc rate, is considering lowering import tariffs on US goods, including a 2.75pc duty on LNG, to ease tensions. By Kevin Foster, Tom Major and Joseph Ho Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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Oil, stock markets slump as tariffs take effect: Update


07/04/25
News
07/04/25

Oil, stock markets slump as tariffs take effect: Update

Updates with latest oil prices, stock market declines Singapore, 7 April (Argus) — Oil futures and stock markets fell sharply again on Monday after the first tranche of US import tariffs came into force. Crude oil futures fell by almost 5pc, with US benchmark crude WTI futures dropping below $60/bl to a new four-year low. Stock markets in Asia and Europe also dropped sharply. Markets in China — which were closed for a holiday at the end of last week — dropped by around 10pc, while Japanese and South Korean exchanges fell by up to 8pc. The sell-off in crude futures accelerated when markets in Europe opened, in line with big drops in the continent's stock markets. Germany's Dax stock exchange fell by as much as 10pc, while the UK FTSE 100 dropped by up to 6pc. Shares in oil majors BP and Shell were up to 9pc lower. US president Donald Trump's 10pc tariff on imports from all countries took effect on 5 April, with exemptions for some commodities . What Trump has described as "reciprocal" tariffs targeting some of the US' biggest trade partners are due to enter into force at 12:01 ET (04:01 GMT) on 9 April. Trump has given no indication that he will cancel or postpone the tariffs, despite the market turmoil in recent days, although he has held out prospects of negotiated reductions with some countries. The president denied on 6 April that he is crashing the markets deliberately. "But sometimes you have to take medicine to fix something," he told reporters. China announced its own 34pc tariffs on all US imports late on 4 April, adding to the pressure on financial markets. Beijing will continue to take "resolute measures" to protect its interests, state-owned media reported over the weekend. China is the only major US trading partner that has so far retaliated against the US tariffs. Several other countries in Asia have said they do not plan to retaliate or have asked Trump to delay the tariffs. Benchmark crude futures have now fallen by up to 18pc since Trump announced his tariffs. Crude oil came under additional pressure on 7 April after Saudi Arabia's state-controlled producer Saudi Aramco reduced its official formula prices for May-loading cargoes, including particularly sharp cuts for buyers in Asia. The front-month June Brent contract on Ice fell by 4.7pc to a low of $62.51/bl. The Nymex front-month May crude contract fell to $58.95/bl, the lowest since April 2021. By Kevin Foster Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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