US coking coal exports partly recover in 3Q

Market: Coking coal
05/11/20

US third quarter coking coal exports recovered from the second quarter but fell from a year earlier as global demand made a partial recovery from its lowest points.

The US exported 9.24mn t of coking coal in the third quarter, a quarterly increase of 13pc but an annual decrease of 21.4pc.

September exports recovered from a lull in August in the vast majority of destinations, but September's total was 24pc below the same month last year. Brazil was the biggest destination for US coking coal in the third quarter and 791,242t shipped in September, driving a 13.7pc year-on-year increase in exports to Brazil in the third quarter to 1.71mn t.

There was a seasonal rise in shipments to Canada as mills sought to stock up before winter. The US shipped 449,352t to Canada in September, a 60pc increase from August, but still 12.6pc less than in September 2019.

US exports to Europe were up by 31.8pc from the second quarter but fell by 17.6pc year on year to 2.89mn t. European buying has been been steady in the third quarter, firms said, but there has been little extra demand amid weakened economies and resurging Covid-19 cases.

Turkey, India, and Ukraine were exceptions among major buyers as US shipments to these destinations fell on a quarterly basis. Shipments to Turkey fell by 23pc on the quarter to 686,343t, but this was an annual increase of over 50pc, as Turkish mills took advantage of sharply reduced global demand in the second quarter and continued to do so while demand recovered in the third quarter. Shipments to India fell by 21.8pc on the quarter and 18.3pc on the year to 781,215t with steel production declining as the country's new Covid-19 cases reached a peak of almost 100,000/d in September.

Shipments to Japan fell by 43pc year on year in the third quarter to 824,835t.

The US exported a 120,000t cargo to China in September, the first in four months. Further deals into China are expected in the fourth quarter following China's ban on imports of Australian coal.

The rise in third quarter exports combined with a continued reduction of output, as US production contracted by around 4pc from the second quarter and 38pc from a year earlier. Stronger fundamentals are now supporting the Argus fob Hampton Roads assessment for low-volatile and high-volatile A coal above the Australian premium low-volatile assessment, which has been weighed on by the import ban

By Brendan Kjellberg-Motton

US coking coal exports						t
Destination	Sep-20	Sep-19	±%	Q3 2020	Q2 2020	±%

World	3,214,395	4,275,373	-25	9,237,571	11,753,293	-21
Brazil	791,242	491,958	61	1,705,587	1,500,008	14
Canada	449,352	513,978	-13	1,118,986	1,300,421	-14
Netherlands	178,530	314,406	-43	930,546	848,802	10
Japan	391,193	548,028	-29	824,835	1,453,774	-43
India	230,562	200,034	15	781,215	956,008	-18
Turkey	166,900	199,037	-16	686,343	437,808	57
Ukraine	71,644	421,324	-83	566,503	1,296,961	-56
Austria	104,247	257,155	-59	315,293	458,210	-31
United Kingdom	136,275	167,060	-18	288,063	351,884	-18
Korea (Republic of)	0	410,239	-100	285,435	689,085	-59
Croatia	77,006	138,095	-44	281,882	396,698	-29
Italy	107,860	177,484	-39	260,289	493,894	-47
Poland	158,624	55,000	188	227,987	143,533	59
China (People's Republic of)	120,000	0	n/a	120,000	104,450	15

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