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US, Australia agree on minerals, emissions, energy pact

  • Market: Biofuels, Coal, Emissions, Hydrogen, Metals, Natural gas
  • 22/05/23

The US has agreed to work with Australia on greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions reduction, with US president Joe Biden promising to advocate for Australia's inclusion for tax credits under his $369bn Inflation Reduction Act (IRA).

Australian prime minister Anthony Albanese announced the bilateral cooperation under a climate, critical minerals and clean energy transformation compact, establishing climate and clean energy as a "central pillar" of the US-Australian alliance. The deal was announced on the sidelines of the G7 meeting taking place in the Japan's Hiroshima, which has focused on clean energy and manufacturing.

Albanese welcomed the IRA as the "largest ever action" to tackle climate change, but concern has been building about the effects the tax credit policy will have in drawing renewable energy investment away from key US allies such as Japan, the EU and Australia, while also harming foreign manufacturers.

Albanese said Biden will push the US Congress to treat Australian suppliers and activity as "domestic activity in the United States" for the purpose of the Defense Production Act, given that the nations work together on nuclear submarines.

"If we think about industries like hydrogen, without that support, there would be a massive incentive for hydrogen-based industries to be based in the United States," Albanese said. "So the big risk with the Inflation Reduction Act to the world because we need to reduce the world's emissions, not just that one nation state, is that you'll see capital leave Australia to go to the United States. This is about addressing that."

Australia assures Japan over gas, coal security

Albanese has separately promised his Japanese counterpart Fumio Kishida that reliable energy supplies will continue to flow, following an unusual intervention in domestic politics by the Japanese ambassador to Australia last year.

"The prime minister underscored Australia's commitment to remaining a reliable supplier of energy to Japan as both countries transition to net zero," a statement from Albanese's office said.

Australia provides about 70pc of Japan's coal imports and 40pc of its gas imports. Japanese ambassador to Australia Shingo Yamagami last year said business and government leaders were concerned over some policies, including a coal royalty increase in the state of Queensland.

Proposed gas developments in Australia's north will face stronger regulatory scrutiny under changes to climate laws that require net zero scope 1 CO2 emissions from new projects. Japan is a major investor in Australian gas and LNG, including the 8.9mn t/yr Inpex-operated Ichthys LNG project near Darwin, the nation's largest single foreign investment.


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28/03/25

US consumer confidence down on policy angst

US consumer confidence down on policy angst

Houston, 28 March (Argus) — The University of Michigan's gauge of consumer sentiment fell in March to the lowest level since November 2022, led by a slump in expectations over the "potential for pain" from US economic policies introduced by the new administration. Sentiment fell to 57, down from 64.7 in February and 79.4 in March 2024, according to the University of Michigan's consumer sentiment survey released Friday. The final reading for March was lower than the preliminary reading. The sentiment index fell to a record low of 50 in June 2022 on inflation concerns. The index of consumer expectations fell to 52.6, the lowest since July 2022, from 64 in February and 77.4 in March last year. The expectations index has lost more than 30pc since November last year. "Consumers continue to worry about the potential for pain amid ongoing economic policy developments," the survey director Joanne Hsu said. The decline "reflects a clear consensus across all demographic and political affiliations: Republicans joined independents and Democrats in expressing worsening expectations … for their personal finances, business conditions, unemployment and inflation," Hsu said. Current economic conditions slipped to 63.8 in March from 65.7 in February and 82.5 last March. Two thirds of consumers expect unemployment to rise in the year ahead, the highest reading since 2009. Year-ahead inflation expectations jumped to 5pc this month, the highest reading since November 2022, from 4.3pc last month. The University of Michigan survey comes three days after The Conference Board's preliminary Consumer Expectations Index fell in March to its lowest in 12 years, to below a threshold that "usually signals" a recession. By Bob Willis Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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ISCC aware EU mulling certification recognition: Update


28/03/25
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28/03/25

ISCC aware EU mulling certification recognition: Update

Adds comment from the European Commission London, 28 March (Argus) — The ISCC, an international certification system for sustainability, said today that it is aware of discussions in an EU committee about future recognition of its certification for waste-based biofuels. It said there is no legal basis for any planned measures. Industry participants said yesterday that the EU Committee on Sustainability of Biofuels, Bioliquids, and Biomass Fuels is drafting implementing regulations that would include a two-and-a-half year pause to obligatory acceptance of ISCC EU certification for waste-based biofuels. "This action is said to be subject to further legal scrutiny and will need approval by member states," the ISCC said. Currently, member states accept EU-recognised voluntary scheme certification as proof that fuel or feedstocks are compliant with the bloc's Renewable Energy Directive (RED) sustainability criteria. Market participants told Argus that discussions have centred around giving individual countries more choice. "Other voluntary schemes would not be able to fill the gap. The measure would be a severe blow to the entire market for waste-based biofuels and would seriously jeopardise the ability of the obligated parties to comply with blending mandates," the ISCC said. The ISCC has been singled out in a discriminatory way and has supported European Commission and member states' investigations into alleged fraud, it said. "We are more than surprised by this step […and] are unable to see the rationale of the planned measure, which seems ad hoc and baseless," it added. Secretary-general of the European Biodiesel Board (EBB) Xavier Noyon told Argus that, if confirmed, the suspension would affect thousands of operators. "At this time, member states are refusing to comment, and we call on the commission to urgently clarify any decisions of this nature that are on the table," he said. The EBB published its own proposed revision to the RED implementing legislation last month, which expanded the supervisory power of member states over voluntary schemes and certification bodies. The European Commission confirmed that the committee met on 26 March to discuss sustainable certification, promotion of biofuels, avoidance of double counting, and alleged fraud. "We are still working on our examination of this alleged fraud in biodiesel imports from China," said commission energy spokesperson Anna-Kaisa Itkonen. But the commission has not taken any decision yet and cannot allude to "possible" scenarios, she said. By John Houghton-Brown, Simone Burgin and Dafydd ab Iago Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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UK steel importers oppose other countries' caps


28/03/25
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28/03/25

UK steel importers oppose other countries' caps

London, 28 March (Argus) — Steel importers in the UK suggest the imposition of a cap on any other countries' quotas could effectively stop trade, given the small volume of the quotas. In a recent submission to the Trade Remedies Authority, UK Steel said 15pc caps should be introduced on other countries quotas for hot-dip galvanised, plate and rebar. But in its submission to the TRA, trading firm Salzgitter Mannesmann argues that any cap based on a percentage of the quota "will ultimately most likely remove rather than reduce imports as shipments from many third countries, notably the far east, require a certain base volume to ship economically to the UK". Other trading firms and service centres told Argus they share the same view. Salzgitter Mannesmann also suggested a new country quotas for individual importers be added to the safeguard based on their imports over the past two or three years. The only local producer of hot-dip galvanised coil, Tata Steel, would be likely to argue against this as volumes from some countries, notably Vietnam, have increased dramatically in recent years. Salzgitter Mannesmann also suggests Tata Steel cannot produce hot-rolled coil over 1.85m wide, for which the UK has to totally rely on imports. Traders have for some time argued that there should be no import constraints on material, such as 2m wide, as there can be no injury to the producer on grades it cannot produce. Service centre Sebden Steel said the current measures make it "impossible" for the UK to be flooded with cheap foreign imports, and that people are "misinformed by mainstream media and UK Steel". "The UK producer is in a safe place already and any additional measures will only serve to cause injury to independent steel service centres, independent steel stockholders and the UK manufacturing base, which will all be faced with a further tightening of the supply chain and increased costs," it said. Importers, unsurprisingly, question why Tata Steel, now a re-roller until its electric arc furnaces are installed, can import on much more favourable terms than others. Tata has a much bigger quota than the rest of the market, at around 2.3mn t, but the main problem for importers is that the company has fewer constraints on where it can source, with only a 40pc cap on any given country within that quota. Independent service centres, which all compete with Tata Distribution, can only import much smaller quantities from different locations, given the fragmented composition of quotas; the other countries quota for 1A, for example, is less than 100,000 t/yr. EU mills have far and away the largest quota to sell 1A HRC into the UK, but given their higher costs compared with Asian producers, they struggle to compete; Tata's imports come from all over the world, as well as some from its sister mill in IJmuiden, the Netherlands. By Colin Richardson Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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UK EAC to explore airport expansion, net zero conflict


28/03/25
News
28/03/25

UK EAC to explore airport expansion, net zero conflict

London, 28 March (Argus) — UK parliament's cross-party environmental audit committee (EAC) has begun an inquiry into whether the country's airport capacity expansion could be achieved in line with its climate and environment targets. "The aviation sector is a major contributor to the UK's carbon emissions, and on the face of it, any expansion in the sector will make net zero even more elusive," EAC chair Toby Perkins said. Any expansions must meet strict climate and environment commitments, the UK government has said. The government in January expressed support for a third runway at London's Heathrow airport — the country's largest. UK transport minister Heidi Alexander said in February that she was "minded to approve" an expansion at London's Gatwick airport, ahead of a final decision in October. The expansion would involve Gatwick making its northern runway operational. It is currently only used as a back-up option. The government is also "contemplating decisions on airport expansion projects at London Luton… and on the reopening of Doncaster Sheffield," Perkins said. "It is possible — but very difficult — for the airport expansion programme to be consistent with environmental goals," Perkins said. "We look forward to exploring how the government believes this can be achieved." The UK has a legally-binding target of net zero emissions by 2050. Its carbon budgets — a cap on emissions over a certain period — are also legally binding. The government must this year set levels for the UK's seventh carbon budget , which will cover the period 2038-42. The committee has invited written submissions on the possible airport expansions and net zero, with a deadline of 24 April. It will report in the autumn. By Georgia Gratton Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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US H2 projects stall, incentives fall short: Technip


28/03/25
News
28/03/25

US H2 projects stall, incentives fall short: Technip

London, 28 March (Argus) — Many US hydrogen project developers have paused or cancelled plans after finding costs were too high and government incentives were insufficient, even before President Donald Trump's return to the White House added uncertainty, Paris-listed contractor Technip Energies has said. Developers rushed to hire contractors for project studies in 2022-23 in a wave of optimism after the US announced tax credits for hydrogen production , but many projects were shelved or suspended between the end of 2023 and mid-2024. This came as companies realised the true cost of many items not limited to CO2 capture, hydrogen storage, and hydrogen liquefaction, Technip Energies' director Randy Kessler said. Multiple developers hired Technip for feasibility studies and engineering designs so it witnessed the drop-off in project plans first hand, Kessler said. Renewable hydrogen projects faced the most challenges, but gas-based projects with carbon capture and storage (CCS) "did not fare too well either", Kessler said. "Nearly all" renewable hydrogen projects were suspended when true capital and operating costs became known, especially compared with conventional 'grey' hydrogen, Kessler said. "Economics generally prevail in the long run, and at 5-8 times the cost of grey H2 production, most big players and project developers found out the incentives did not cover the gap," he said. Most of Technip Energies' clients pursuing CCS-enabled projects eventually asked for estimates for conventional grey hydrogen plants, with "pre-investment" to add CO2 capture units in the future, Kessler said. Washington made matters worse for developers with "confusing" incentives and delays in finalising eligibility rules for the tax credits, which it only settled on in early 2025 , just weeks before the change in administration. "The people who made money were the consultants who told people what it all meant," Kessler said. The late-2024 US election became both an "issue" and an "an excuse" for developers to explain the lack of progress, Kessler said. Many US firms complained that political uncertainty during the election period hampered their business decisions. Politically powerful energy companies lobbying Washington for "appropriate levels of incentives to cover the gap" or relaxing tax credit rules to lower project costs would be the most likely way to revive the sector, Kessler said. The US could consider setting mandates, but this is unlikely unless there is "more global buy-in", he said. Few regions, aside from the EU, have proposed mandates, and even there they have not been firmly implemented. But US firms and industrial groups are focusing lobbying efforts on protecting the hydrogen tax credits rather than quibbling over the rules, US sources said. The return of Trump to the White House made the future of the tax credits less certain because of his preference for boosting US fossil fuel output over investing in clean energy. Another contracting firm, Black & Veatch, recently said it was unsurprised to see many speculative projects fall by the wayside, and that the best route forward is better quality and modestly-sized projects with clear offtakers. By Aidan Lea Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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