Generic Hero BannerGeneric Hero Banner
Latest market news

Oil and gas around for another 100 years: Hamm

  • Market: Crude oil, Natural gas
  • 25/09/23

Despite growing calls for the world to wean itself off fossil fuels, oil and gas will still be around in a century's time, said Continental Resources Chairman Harold Hamm, one of the principal architects of the shale boom.

"All the studies we've done show we're going to be on oil and gas for the next 100 years," the executive chairman of Continental Resources, the biggest producer in North Dakota, said Sunday at a kick-off dinner for the American Energy Security Summit sponsored by the Hamm Institute for American Energy in Oklahoma City, Oklahoma.

In recent weeks, the industry has been buoyed by oil prices racing toward the key $100/bl milestone on the back of extended production cuts by Saudi Arabia and Russia, as well as signs of robust demand.

"All of us in this room, we don't need $100 oil — high $80s, that's fine," Hamm told an assembled group of fellow oil energy executives, including Chevron chief executive Mike Wirth and Devon Energy's chief executive Rick Muncrief, and former secretary of state Mike Pompeo.

The shale billionaire and advisor to former president Donald Trump, also called for more consistency out of Washington, regardless of which party is in control, comparing current swings in policy to "riding a roller coaster."

"We need something that transcends politics with an energy policy that can last from one administration to the next," he said.

When federal leases were halted by the current administration, it took a whole year to modify drilling plans. "Everything you planned that you're going to do, if you can't get a permit, you have to basically go to plan B," Hamm said.

He also complained about the chronic underinvestment in new production by the industry in recent years, citing Europe's supply crisis last year as an example of the repercussions that can follow.

Others also cautioned against a speedy energy transition when the world is not quite ready to give up fossil fuels and with a global population that is set to expand rapidly.

"The focus we've had on ESG and clean energy is taking away investment from oil and gas in particular," warned Amrita Sen, Energy Aspects founder and director of research. "And it has been taking away investment for the last few years, even though oil demand continues to rise."

While fossil fuels made up 82pc of primary energy consumption back in the 1980s, that percentage is still the same today.

"Governments have to understand the need to give security of demand if they are to have security of supply," Sen said.

Among the speakers at the conference today are Wirth, Birnbaum, Pompeo, former US secretary of labor Elaine Chao, former US ambassador to the UN Nikki Haley, Occidental Petroleum chief executive Vicki Hollub, FedEx chairman Fred Smith, Goldman Sachs chairman David Solomon


Sharelinkedin-sharetwitter-sharefacebook-shareemail-share

Related news posts

Argus illuminates the markets by putting a lens on the areas that matter most to you. The market news and commentary we publish reveals vital insights that enable you to make stronger, well-informed decisions. Explore a selection of news stories related to this one.

News
16/04/25

Iran says uranium enrichment 'not up for negotiation'

Iran says uranium enrichment 'not up for negotiation'

Dubai, 16 April (Argus) — Iran's foreign minister Abbas Araqchi said uranium enrichment is non-negotiable after US special envoy to the Middle East Steve Witkoff suggested any new nuclear deal would require a halt. "We are open to acknowledging and answering concerns [about our nuclear programme] in order to help build trust," Araqchi told reporters in Tehran. "But the core issue of Iran enriching uranium is not up for negotiation." Araqchi was responding to questions about a social media post made by Witkoff on 15 April in which he suggested that any new nuclear deal would require Iran to "stop and eliminate" its enrichment of uranium. In a television interview the day before, Witkoff indicated that Washington just wanted Iran to abide by the 3.67pc enrichment threshold that was agreed in the previous nuclear deal that US president Donald Trump pulled out of in 2018. Witkoff's apparent shift in stance was echoed by White House press secretary Karoline Leavitt on 15 April, who said: "The president does not want to see Iran have a nuclear programme. He does not want Iran to obtain a nuclear weapon." Araqchi, who is leading the Iranian delegation in the talks, said such "contradictory" comments by US officials are "not helpful". Aracqhi and Witkoff are due to meet on 19 April for a second round of talks, which were initially scheduled to be held in Oman but and now due to take place in Rome, according to Iran's state broadcaster IRIB. Both Tehran and Washington described the first round of talks in Oman on 12 April as "positive and constructive." By Nader Itayim Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Find out more
News

Opec+ overproducers issue new compensation plans


16/04/25
News
16/04/25

Opec+ overproducers issue new compensation plans

Dubai, 16 April (Argus) — Seven of the eight Opec+ members that began a gradual unwinding of a combined 2.2mn b/d output cut this month have submitted updated schedules for how they plan to compensate for producing above their respective quotas since the start of 2024. The schedules, released by the Opec secretariat today, show Iraq, Kazakhstan, Russia, the UAE, Kuwait, Oman and Saudi Arabia are planning to produce around 305,000 b/d below their combined production targets on average from April through June 2026 ( see table ). This is to compensate for exceeding their production targets by a cumulative 4.573mn b/d between January 2024 and March 2025, the secretariat said. This figure does not represent a monthly average, but rather the sum of the monthly amount by which the overproducers surpassed their respective output ceilings in this period. It works out to an average monthly overproduction of 305,000 b/d. Algeria is the only country in the group of eight that did not overproduce in that stretch, and therefore does not have to compensate. The previous schedule , which was published in the third week of March, envisaged the seven producing around 263,000 b/d below their combined targets on average from March through June 2026. That was to clear 4.203mn b/d of cumulative overproduction between January 2024 and February 2025, or 300,000 b/d on average per month over that period. This latest schedule factors in the decision by these seven countries, and Algeria, earlier this month to speed up the return of a 2.2mn b/d cut by lifting the group's overall production target in May by 411,000 b/d ꟷ three times more than it had originally planned. If implemented fully these compensation cuts should at least largely offset much of the production increases that would be allowed by the Opec+ group of eight's planned unwind through to the second half of 2026. At most, the compensation cuts would more than offset the planned increases for some months, including for this month. But with serial over-producers Iraq and Kazakhstan responsible for delivering the biggest chunk of these compensatory cuts through to the middle of next year, there is no guarantee of full implementation. By Nader Itayim Opec+ overproduction compensation plan* b/d Month Iraq Kuwait Saudi Arabia UAE Kazakhstan Oman Russia Total Apr-25 120 8 15 5 63 5 6 222 May-25 140 15 0 10 116 12 85 378 Jun-25 140 23 10 132 15 111 431 Jul-25 135 30 10 126 17 137 455 Aug-25 130 38 10 141 19 163 501 Sep-25 135 37 10 135 14 189 520 Oct-25 135 10 160 15 320 Nov-25 135 20 114 269 Dec-25 130 20 69 219 Jan-26 125 33 49 207 Feb-26 125 33 38 196 Mar-26 124 33 40 197 Apr-26 120 57 38 215 May-26 120 62 42 224 Jun-26 120 63 36 219 Average reduction 305 *monthly reduction pledge in addition to existing targets Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

News

IEA slashes 2025 global refinery runs growth forecast


15/04/25
News
15/04/25

IEA slashes 2025 global refinery runs growth forecast

London, 15 April (Argus) — The IEA has sharply lowered its forecast for refinery run growth this year, citing escalating tensions in global trade. In its latest Oil Market Report (OMR) published today, the energy watchdog said it expects growth in global crude runs of 340,000 b/d, down by 40pc from its previous forecast of 570,000 b/d. The IEA sees total global crude runs averaging 83.2mn b/d this year. Increased throughput from non-OECD countries still drives this year's growth, with the IEA expecting an increase of 830,000 b/d to 47.6mn b/d. The IEA has not adjusted this figure, as stronger runs in China through the first quarter of this year and higher Russian forecasts have offset downgrades in other non-OECD countries. Chinese crude runs in January and February averaged 15.2mn b/d, around 470,000 b/d higher than the IEA's forecast, it said. The body raised its Russian forecasts from the second quarter as Ukrainian attacks on Russian infrastructure have slowed. The IEA forecasts OECD refinery runs will fall by 490,000 b/d this year because of refinery closures, resulting in a cut from its previous forecast of 100,000 b/d, to 35.6mn b/d. OECD Europe runs are forecast to fall by 310,000 b/d on the year to 10.9mn b/d. OECD crude runs rose by 200,000 b/d on the year in February, 40,000 b/d higher than the IEA expected. Throughput was particularly weak in the first quarter of 2024, when extreme cold cut US run rates. In Mexico, state-owned Pemex's 340,000 b/d Olmeca refinery has still not reached stable operations having started up in mid-2024. The refinery ran no crude in January because of crude quality constraints, the IEA said, and February output there was 7,000 b/d. The IEA estimates the refinery's second crude unit will come online in the fourth quarter. The IEA said refiners will add more than 1mn b/d of global capacity in 2026, but it forecast growths in crude runs of only 300,000 b/d for that year. Assuming all new and expanded refineries come into operation by then, producers will have to cut runs at older refineries, it said. Capacity additions will be largest in Asia-Pacific. The IEA expects China's 320,000 b/d Panjin refinery to come online in the second half of 2026, and for producers to add capacity of 480,000 b/d in India. It sees growth in crude runs as focused on the Mideast Gulf, and runs across the OECD falling. By Josh Michalowski Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

News

VG begins contracted LNG deliveries at Calcasieu Pass


15/04/25
News
15/04/25

VG begins contracted LNG deliveries at Calcasieu Pass

Houston, 15 April (Argus) — US LNG exporter Venture Global began deliveries of long-term contractual cargoes at its 12.4mn t/yr Calcasieu Pass terminal in Louisiana today after the facility started commercial operations, more than three years after producing its first LNG. "We are excited to reach this milestone and are grateful for our regulators and supply chain partners who have worked with our team to reach commercial operations as efficiently and safely as possible," said Venture Global chief executive Mike Sabel. But the long-delayed and highly contested start comes amid ongoing arbitration proceedings against Venture Global, which some customers including Shell, BP, Italian utility Edison and Spanish company Repsol argue was unjustified in deferring the contracted supplies (see offtakers table) . The LNG exporter originally sought to begin commercial operations in 2022 but cited impacts from Covid-19, two hurricanes and "major unforeseen manufacturing issues" related to one of the plant's heat recovery steam generators, equipment that helps power the facility. Because several of the plant's facilities, including the power island, were not officially placed in service with federal authorization, Venture Global maintained that the plant was not commercially operating — despite producing 444 cargoes totaling 28.2mn t of LNG (about 1.28 trillion cubic feet of natural gas) since its first in March 2022, according to Vortexa data. The start-up Tuesday comes on the final day before Venture Global could have lost control of the project. The company said in a December filing with the US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) that the agreement under which it had financed debt requires commercial operations to be completed by 1 June 2025. Should commercial operations have not begun 45 days prior to this date — which is Tuesday — then the agreement defaults, allowing "certain investors" to exercise control over the project. Before Tuesday, the company instead sold cargoes on the spot market for prices much higher than the terms of its offtake agreements. Calcasieu Pass produced its first LNG in January 2022 and exported its first cargo on 1 March 2022 — less than a week after Russia, then a key supplier of gas to Europe, invaded Ukraine. The facility produced its first LNG just 29 months after reaching a final investment decision (FID) on the project, compared with the industry average of four to five years. The timing of the project's start dovetailed with the war-driven volatility in the European gas market, helping Venture Global realize much larger profits than it would have under contracted volumes. The firm's liquefaction fees in 2023 and 2024 averaged $12.23/mn Btu and $7.28/mn Btu, respectively, compared with the average $1.97/mn Btu in its long-term deals, according to a company presentation in March. The lengthy commissioning process generated $19.6bn in revenue by the end of September 2024, Venture Global said in the December SEC filing. Shell estimated that Venture Global sold cargoes in 2023 at an average of $48.8mn per shipment, "raking in billions of dollars while shirking its contractual obligations", according to a filing with US energy regulator FERC in March 2024. Venture Global said in March that the customer arbitration cases are not likely to be resolved until after 2025. LNG facilities usually produce commissioning cargoes for a few months before beginning long-term contracts. But Venture Global has said its unique plant design, which uses a higher number of smaller, modular liquefaction trains compared with traditional trains, requires a longer start-up process. Calcasieu Pass LNG consists of 18 trains paired in nine blocks, and a similarly long commissioning period is expected at the first two phases of Venture Global's 27.2mn t/yr Plaquemines facility consisting of 36 trains. The company also has plans for an 18.1mn t/yr expansion at Plaquemines. An FID is expected in mid-2027, with first LNG production 18-24 months later. Venture Global estimated that its third LNG facility, the 28mn t/yr CP2 facility adjacent to Calcasieu Pass, could export up to 550 commissioning cargoes . The company expects to make an investment decision on the first phase of CP2 this year. By Tray Swanson Calcasieu Pass offtake deals Offtaker Volume, mn t/yr Contract length, yrs Shell 2.0 20 Galp 1.0 20 Sinopec 1.0 3 CNOOC 0.5 5 Edison 1.0 20 Repsol 1.0 20 PGNiG 1.5 20 BP 2.0 20 — US DOE Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

News

Keystone oil pipeline to restart today, pressure capped


14/04/25
News
14/04/25

Keystone oil pipeline to restart today, pressure capped

Calgary, 14 April (Argus) — The 622,000 b/d Keystone oil pipeline is repaired and has approval to restart at a reduced pressure less than a week after spilling crude in North Dakota. Pipeline operator South Bow is planning a "controlled restart" of the Keystone system today, provided weather cooperates, the company said. The repair and restart plans were approved by the Pipeline and Hazardous Materials Safety Administration (PHMSA), which issued a corrective action order (COA) to the Calgary-based midstream company on 11 April. The pipeline is a major carrier of Canadian heavy crude destined for both the US midcontinent and the Gulf coast but was shut down on 8 April after spilling 3,500 bl near Kathryn, North Dakota. About 2,845 bl had been recovered by 12 April, according to PHMSA. The COA indicates Keystone was operating at 1,251 pounds per square inch gauge (psig) at the time of failure, below the maximum allowed operating pressure of 1,440 psig for the pipeline. Flow rate at the time of failure was 17,844 bl per hour. Keystone will be capped at 80pc of the pressure at the time of the failure, or 1,000 psig. PHMSA noted five prior spills from Keystone occurring in 2016, 2017, 2019, 2020 and 2022 that saw releases of 400, 6,592, 4,515, 442 and 12,937 bl of crude, respectively, which "show a tendency or pattern in recent years of increasingly frequent incidents resulting in larger releases". Prices on either side of the pipeline break narrowed ahed of Keystone's imminent return-to-service. Heavy sour Western Canadian Select (WCS) in Hardisty, Alberta, has narrowed by about 75¢/bl to a $9.10/bl discount to the May Nymex WTI calendar month average, so far, while the same assessment in the Houston, Texas, area has widened by nearly 30¢/bl to about a $2.40/bl discount to the May basis. By Brett Holmes Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Generic Hero Banner

Business intelligence reports

Get concise, trustworthy and unbiased analysis of the latest trends and developments in oil and energy markets. These reports are specially created for decision makers who don’t have time to track markets day-by-day, minute-by-minute.

Learn more