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New EEG sites should qualify for GOOs: BDI

  • Market: Electricity
  • 12/03/21

German industry federation BDI has called for new renewable power sites subsidised under the country's renewable energies law (EEG), to equally qualify for guarantees of origin (GOO).

The demand forms part of a raft of recommendations the BDI published last week and addressed to the next federal government following general elections in September.

Under existing legislation, renewable sites receiving market premiums or feed-in tariffs (FiT) under the EEG cannot generate GOOs. The EEG justifies the "multiple sale ban" as power consumers already pay for the green quality through the EEG levy, which is levied on all non-exempted power consumption. But the BDI argued that since the EEG levy is now part-financed through general taxation, the justification for the ban is losing its stringency.

The economy and energy ministry has pledged to gradually reduce the EEG levy to zero over the next few years, by having it entirely funded through general taxation.

The ministry said this week that it is looking at the multiple sale ban in connection with "electricity labelling issues". Given the "high complexity" of the issue, and the "constitutional questions" it raises, the ministry said that a "deepened analysis" will be necessary, and that any conclusions will be drawn in the next parliamentary period.

A paper published last year by Wurzburg-based environmental and energy law foundation Stiftung Umweltenergierecht (SUER) suggests that generating GOOs for EEG sites could be designed as a voluntary option. Site operators would have their EER remuneration reduced by the market price of the GOO.

Limiting GOOs to new sites under only the EEG would have the advantage of avoiding a "flooding" of the European GOO market — this would be the case if existing sites could qualify, given Germany's large volume of renewable power generation, the paper said.

The EEG levy has been capped at €65/MWh this year — compared with the over €90/MWh it could have reached. The government will plough around €11bn into maintaining the cap in 2021, by pushing proceeds from the new domestic CO2 price in the heating and transport sectors, and from general taxation, into the EEG account.

EEG levy phase-out raises PV investment issues

The economy and energy ministry's plans to gradually push the EEG payments into general taxation will have an impact on investors' motivation, an energy expert warned.

SUER energy law expert Thorsten Mueller said that the high EEG levy has played a big role in incentivising investments in rooftop PV capacities for years, as this would allow companies to at least partially avoid paying the levy, in addition to receiving subsidies in the form of market premiums or FiTs. If the levy is financed through general taxation, part of the incentive will end, and it is unclear what the consequences could be, Mueller said. He suggested that demands by the opposition Green Party, to make rooftop PV mandatory at least on new and public buildings, could to an extent be viewed as a "compensation" for the EEG-levy phase-out, as it could trigger another wave of investment.

But plans to phase out the EEG levy should not be viewed as a sea change, Mueller said — the EEG levy is bound to decline anyway, as older renewables sites with their high FiTs gradually leave the system. But the government would be pulling forward the effect — and significantly so, Mueller said.


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13/01/25

AI may boom on gas power, then turn to nuclear

AI may boom on gas power, then turn to nuclear

New York, 13 January (Argus) — The first tranche of new US data centers coming on line this decade to run electricity-intensive artificial intelligence (AI) software will probably rely mostly on power generated by natural gas, while the nuclear renaissance hoped for by Big Tech comes later in the 2030s. Microsoft, Amazon, Facebook-parent Meta and Google-parent Alphabet want clean, reliable power as quickly as possible so they can be early movers in the development of AI, which is rapidly advancing and finding new user bases around the world. While these companies do not relish the optics of powering AI development with fossil fuels, gas-fired power is widely expected to fulfill most of the gap between current supply and future demand through at least 2030. Unlike wind and solar, gas can be relied upon for steady, baseload power, a necessary ingredient for always-on data centers. And crucially, unlike nuclear, gas-related infrastructure can be built out quickly. The most recent additions to the US nuclear fleet, Vogtle units 3 and 4 in Georgia, took 15 years to build and cost $30bn, double the expected time and cost. A few decommissioned nuclear reactors can be restarted, as Microsoft is paying to do with a unit of Three Mile Island in Pennsylvania. But this low-hanging fruit will be quickly exhausted. Questions around the meter While there is broad agreement that gas will power the AI data center boom through at least 2030, questions remain about what this rapid gas-fired power build-out will look like. Data center operators can secure power in two ways: wade through the long, arduous interconnection process through which new customers connect to the grid, or bypass the grid altogether and secure their own personal electricity supply through so-called "behind-the-meter" agreements. Many in the gas industry are betting tech companies' need for speed will force them to opt for the latter. "The data centers are not going to wait," Alan Armstrong, chief executive of Williams, the largest US gas pipeline company, told Argus in an interview. "They are going to go to states that allow you to go behind the meter." In this scenario, construction of an AI data center in a state like Louisiana, for instance, might accompany construction of a new intrastate pipeline connecting the state's prolific Haynesville gas field with a new gas-fired power plant. Intrastate pipelines bypass the federal oversight triggered by interstate pipeline construction, and new gas power plants only take 2-3 years to build, East Daley Analytics analyst Zachary Krause told Argus . Most of the incremental power needed to run AI data centers this decade will be generated by new gas plants, Krause said. Even ExxonMobil in December said it was in talks to provide "fully islanded" gas-fired power to AI data centers. It claimed it could even capture 90pc of the CO2 emissions from power generation, appeasing tech companies' climate ambitions. ExxonMobil's non-grid gas generation fleet is "independent of utility timelines, so they can be installed at a pace that other alternatives — including US nuclear — just can't match," ExxonMobil chief financial officer Kathy Mikells said. But connecting to the grid may offer better reliability and economics than behind-the-meter gas power. If an off-grid gas generator trips off line, for instance, an always-on data center without back-up generation depending on that facility would be in trouble. Grid connection also allows generators to sell excess power into the grid. For those reasons, most new data centers this decade will rely on the grid as their primary power source, Adam Robinson, research associate at consultancy Enverus, told Argus . Small modular future But if the 2020s become the decade of gas-powered AI, the 2030s may be when nuclear-powered AI gets its due. The long-awaited nuclear renaissance may come not from conventional reactors, but from next-generation small modular reactors (SMRs), which can theoretically be built much faster and cheaper. No US SMRs yet exist, but given the number of SMR start-ups with expected start dates before 2030, and money pouring into the sector from the likes of Google and Microsoft, at least one of these next-generation reactors should be operating by 2030, Adam Stein, director of nuclear energy innovation at research center Breakthrough Institute, told Argus . SMRs' smaller price tag relative to conventional 1 GW nuclear reactors may also accelerate their adoption, Stein said. "Not every utility needs a GW-scale plant of any kind, but they might need a 300 or 600MW plant," he said. "So the total addressable market is larger for SMRs." By Julian Hast Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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Brazil's power gen expands at record rate in 2024


13/01/25
News
13/01/25

Brazil's power gen expands at record rate in 2024

Sao Paulo, 13 January (Argus) — Brazil's installed power generation capacity increased by a record 10.9GW in 2024, surpassing government projections of 10.1GW. New solar capacity from 147 new solar farms contributed with the largest share of new generation capacity connected to the grid in 2024, expanding by over 5.6GW, according to electricity regulator Aneel. Wind power contributed with the second largest share of new capacity, as 121 new wind farms added 4.3GW of capacity. Hydroelectric capacity increased by 56MW from 11 new plants. The country's thermoelectric capacity also posted modest gains, with 22 new plants adding 907MW of capacity to the grid. More than 70pc of the new capacity came from three states, Minas Gerais (adding 3.17GW), Bahia (2.4GW) and Rio Grande do Norte (1.8GW). With the expansions, Brazil reached nearly 209GW of installed capacity connected to the grid, of which nearly 85pc is renewable. Aneel is projecting that new capacity connected to the grid will reach 9.37GW in 2025, including 3.6GW of solar, 2.4GW of thermoelectric and 2.34GW of wind power. Installed distributed generation (DG) capacity increased by 30pc in 2024, or 7.4GW, bringing total capacity to 34GW, according to the Brazilian distributed generation association. The association is projecting DG to expand by an additional 22pc in 2025. Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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European RES will not meet 2050 targets: Aurora


13/01/25
News
13/01/25

European RES will not meet 2050 targets: Aurora

London, 13 January (Argus) — European renewable energy sources (RES) will fall short of 2050 capacity targets despite an expected three-fold increase owing to market challenges, according to research body Aurora. The EU aims to be carbon neutral by 2050, meaning it expects renewable generation to account for over 60pc of its generation mix. Although Europe's installed renewable capacity has increased to almost 530GW in the past decade and is estimated to more than triple by 2050, it will not reach its target owing to persistent challenges in the energy market, Aurora said in an industry report. The research body highlighted negative prices and market saturation as two of the main obstacles to faster renewable energy additions. Central Europe has recorded the lowest negative prices, while the Nordic area has seen them most frequently. Grid congestion also represents a major bottleneck for renewables expansion according to Aurora. Europe saw nearly a 15pc rise year on year in remedial actions at around 57TWh in 2023, with Germany, Poland, the UK and Ireland curtailing the most energy. Aurora urged European countries to develop more battery energy storage capacity and have a more diversified renewable portfolio to enable a more efficient energy transition. It also suggested accessing additional revenue through capacity, ancillary, and balancing markets. Industry association WindEurope recently raised concerns over the EU not having built enough wind farms last year to reach its 425GW wind capacity target for 2030. By Ilenia Reale Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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California governor eyes carbon market extension


10/01/25
News
10/01/25

California governor eyes carbon market extension

Houston, 10 January (Argus) — California governor Gavin Newsom (D) is planning to start discussions with lawmakers to enact a formal extension of the state's cap-and-trade program. Newsom included the idea in the 2025-26 budget proposal he released on Friday. "The administration, in partnership with the legislature, will need to consider extending the cap-and-trade program beyond 2030 to achieve carbon neutrality," the governor's budget overview says. The California Air Resources Board (CARB) believes it has the authority to operate the program beyond 2030, but a legislative extension would put it on much firmer footing. The cap-and-trade program, which covers major sources of the state's greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions, including power plants and transportation fuels, requires a 40pc cut from 1990 levels by 2030. CARB is eyeing tightening that target to 48pc as part of a rulemaking that could take effect next year to help keep the state on a path to carbon neutrality by 2045. Newsom's budget proposal highlighted the need to weigh the revenue received from the program carbon allowance auctions. That money goes to the Greenhouse Gas Reduction Fund (GGRF), which supports the state's clean economy transition through programs targeting GHG emissions reductions, such as subsidizing purchases for zero-emission vehicles (ZEVs). The budget plan added few new climate commitments, instead prioritizing funding agreed to last year. The governor's $322.3bn 2025-26 budget proposal would continue cost-saving measures the state enacted in its 2024-25 budget to deal with a multi-billion-dollar deficit. These included shifting portions of expenditures from the state general fund to the GGRF over multiple budget years, such as $900mn for the state's Clean Energy Reliability Investment Plan. The state's $10bn Climate Bond, passed by voters in November 2024, would cover the majority of new climate-related spending, including taking on $32mn of the reliability plan spending. The change in funding source would allow the state Department of Motor Vehicles to utilize $81mn in GGRF funds to cover expenditures from CARB's Mobile Source Emissions Research Program. The governor's budget would also advance his proposal from October for CARB to evaluate allowing fuel blends with 15pc ethanol (E15) in the state, as a measure to lower gas prices. CARB would receive $2.3mn from Newsom's proposal to finish the multi-tier study it began in 2018 and implement the necessary regulatory changes to allow E15 at the pump. Currently, California allows only fuel blends with up to E10 because of environmental concerns, such as the potential for increased emissions of NOx, which contributes to smog, by allowing more ethanol. With the administration predicting a modest surplus of $363mn from higher state revenues, it is unlikely that California will return to the belt tightening of the past two state budgets. But the state cautions that tension with the incoming president-elect Donald Trump, potential import tariffs and ongoing state revenue volatility should leave California on guard for any potential future fiscal pitfalls. The state's legislature's non-partisan adviser cautioned in November that government spending continues to outpace revenues, with future deficits likely. The administration is keeping an eye on the issue, which could result in changes through the governor's May budget revision, state director of finance Joe Stephenshaw said. By Denise Cathey Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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Brazil’s inflation decelerates to 4.83pc in December


10/01/25
News
10/01/25

Brazil’s inflation decelerates to 4.83pc in December

Sao Paulo, 10 January (Argus) — Brazil's headline inflation decelerated to 4.83pc at the end of 2024, as declines in power costs were only partially offset by gains in fuel and food, according to government statistics agency IBGE. The consumer price index (CPI) slowed from 4.87pc in November and compared with 4.76pc in October. The year-end print compared with 4.62pc in December 2023, but was down from 5.79pc in December 2022. Food and beverage costs rose by an annual 7.69pc in December, accounting for much of the monthly increase, following a 7.63pc annual gain in November. Beef costs increased by an annual 20.84pc in December following a 15.43pc annual gain for the prior month. Higher beef costs in the domestic market are related to the Brazilian's real depreciation to the US dollar, with the Brazilian real depreciating by 27.4pc to the US dollar between 31 December 2023 and the same date in 2024 . Still, beef prices decelerated by 5.26pc in December alone, down from 8pc in November. Soybean oil rose by 29.21pc over the year, an increase of 1.64 percentage points from November. Fuel prices rose by an annual 10.09pc in December after an 8.78pc gain in November. Motor fuel costs grew by 0.7pc in December, compared with a 0.15pc drop in the prior month, thanks to higher gasoline prices. Diesel prices increased by 0.66pc in the 12-month period, while it decreased by 2.25pc in November. Gasoline prices — the major individual contributor to the annual high, according to IBGE — rose by 9.71pc in December from 9.12pc in the prior month. Still, that was lower than in December 2023, when the annual inflation for gasoline stood at 11pc. Power costs in December contracted by an annual 0.37pc in December, as improvements in power generation allowed for removal of a surcharge from customer bills, after a gain of 3.46pc the prior month. In November, Brazil faced lower river levels at its hydroelectric plants after a period of severe droughts . Brazil's central bank is targeting CPI of 3pc with a margin of 1.5 percentage point above or below. Brazil's central bank in December raised its target rate to 12.25pc from 11.25pc as the real's depreciation accelerated. It also signaled it is likely to increase the rate to 14.25pc by March. Monthly inflation accelerated to 0.52pc in December from 0.39pc in November. But the rate was lower than in December 2023, when it stood at 0.56pc. By Maria Frazatto Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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