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US overhauls review policy for gas pipelines, LNG

  • Market: Emissions, Natural gas
  • 17/02/22

Natural gas companies seeking to build pipelines and LNG export facilities will be subject to more scrutiny over their anticipated greenhouse gas emissions, under sweeping policy changes the US Federal Energy Regulatory Commission (FERC) approved today.

The agency's Democratic majority voted 3-2 to approve two policies, one revising the agency's project certification process and another creating a new framework for scrutinizing greenhouse gas emissions. Together they mark the largest change in US permitting policies for interstate natural gas infrastructure since at least 1999, the last time the agency made major changes.

The two new policies are set to apply immediately, which FERC chairman Richard Glick said would allow the agency to begin processing pending gas pipeline and LNG export applications "without delay." The changes will provide a more legally durable path forward for reviewing projects, he said, after the agency faced a series of court losses focused in part on climate change.

"Right now, I think we have a mess on our hands," Glick said at the agency's monthly open meeting. "The commission has repeatedly failed to live up to the requirements within the Natural Gas Act and the National Environmental Policy Act."

FERC approved the new policies over the objection of the agency's two Republicans, who say the agency has overstepped its congressional mandate to ensure the approval of needed gas infrastructure. Republicans and gas industry officials worry the sweeping changes will add uncertainty and new litigation risks for projects that already take years to permit and can cost billions of dollars to build.

"This new certificate policy approved today is the mother of all legal weapons," Republican commissioner Mark Christie said as part of his dissent. "There is no question that it will be wielded against every single natural gas project, making the cost and uncertainties of even pursuing a project exponentially more daunting."

Industry already adapting

But some gas developers, in anticipation of the changes, have already voluntarily come up with plans that may align with the changes. US LNG developer NextDecade last year asked the agency to modify its plans to build the 27mn t/yr Rio Grande LNG export terminal to include carbon capture equipment capable of handling at least 90pc of the its direct emissions, after a court found issues with FERC's initial climate review.

FERC began considering revisions to its 1999 pipeline certification policy nearly four years ago, but the effort sputtered out as the agency's Republican majority at the time faced widespread industry opposition to changes. Glick restarted the agency's work on the effort a year ago, pursuing a broader scope of changes with more of a focus on climate change.

The first policy change, revising agency policy for certifying gas projects, revamps how FERC determines if there is enough of a "public need" for a proposed project to justify approval, including requiring more scrutiny of alternatives to building a new pipeline. FERC is also lowering the importance of firm contracts, called "precedent agreements," to show that approving a project is in the public's interest, in favor of a process focused on how gas will be used and likely utilization rates.

The second policy, an interim change that could be revised based on public comments due on 4 April, will create a framework for evaluating a project's likely greenhouse gas emissions and effects on climate change. FERC said it will encourage developers to propose plans to mitigate a project's emissions, and it will generally presume a new project emitting more than 100,000 metric tonnes/yr of CO2 requires the most rigorous type of agency review under the National Environmental Policy Act, called an EIS.

The policy shift come at a time when the industry mostly wrapped up a construction boom that has dramatically increased shale gas takeaway capacity in the Appalachian and the Permian basins and helped supply new LNG export facilities. The gas sector from 2016-20 placed into service $41bn of pipelines that fall under FERC jurisdiction, along with $24bn of pipelines from 2010-15, according to data from the US Energy Information Administration.

But the industry has struggled to build pipelines in the northeast US, where state opposition and organized litigation have blocked projects like the $8bn Atlantic Coast pipeline and $1.1bn PennEast pipeline. The pending $6.2bn Mountain Valley pipeline has finished most construction but recently faced a setback to completion from two court decisions throwing out key federal permits.


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04/04/25

Tariffs and their impact larger than expected: Powell

Tariffs and their impact larger than expected: Powell

New York, 4 April (Argus) — Federal Reserve chairman Jerome Powell said today tariff increases unveiled by US president Donald Trump will be "significantly larger" than expected, as will the expected economic fallout. "The same is likely to be true of the economic effects, which will include higher inflation and slower growth," Powell said today at the Society for Advancing Business Editing and Writing's annual conference in Arlington, Virginia. The central bank will continue to carefully monitor incoming data to assess the outlook and the balance of risks, he said. "We're well positioned to wait for greater clarity before considering any adjustments to our policy stance," Powell added. "It is too soon to say what will be the appropriate path for monetary policy." As of 1pm ET today, Fed funds futures markets are pricing in 29pc odds of a quarter point cut by the Federal Reserve at its next meeting in May and 99pc odds of at least a quarter point rate cut in June. Earlier in the day the June odds were at 100pc. The Fed chairman spoke after trillions of dollars in value were wiped off stock markets around the world and crude prices plummeted following Trump's rollout of across-the-board tariffs earlier in the week. Just before his appearance, Trump pressed Powell in a post on his social media platform to "STOP PLAYING POLITICS!" and cut interest rates without delay. A closely-watched government report showed the US added a greater-than-expected 228,000 jobs in March , showing hiring was picking up last month. By Stephen Cunningham Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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New tariffs could upend US tallow imports


03/04/25
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03/04/25

New tariffs could upend US tallow imports

New York, 3 April (Argus) — New US tariffs on nearly all foreign products could deter further imports of beef tallow, a fast-rising biofuel feedstock and food ingredient that had until now largely evaded President Donald Trump's efforts to reshape global trade. Tallow was the most used feedstock for US biomass-based diesel production in January for the first month ever, with consumption by pound rising month to month despite sharp declines in actual biorefining and in use of competing feedstocks. The beef byproduct benefits from US policies, including a new federal tax credit known as "45Z", that offer greater subsidies to fuel derived from waste than fuel derived from first-generation crops. Much of that tallow is sourced domestically, but the US also imported more than 880,000t of tallow last year, up 29pc from just two years earlier. The majority of those imports last year came from Brazil, which until now has faced a small 0.43¢/kg (19.5¢/lb) tariff, and from Australia, which was exempt from any tallow-specific tariffs under a free trade agreement with US. But starting on 5 April, both countries will be subject to at least the new 10pc charge on foreign imports. There are some carveouts from tariffs for certain energy products, but animal fats are not included. Some other major suppliers — like Argentina, Uruguay, and New Zealand — will soon have new tariffs in place too, although tallow from Canada is for now unaffected because it is covered by the US-Mexico-Canada free trade agreement. Brazil tallow shipments to the US totaled around 300,000t in 2024, marking an all-time high, but tallow shipments during the fourth quarter of 2024 fell under the 2023 levels as uncertainty about future tax policy slowed buying interest. Feedstock demand in general in the US has remained muted to start this year because of poor biofuel production margins, and that has extended to global tallow flows. Tallow suppliers in Brazil for instance were already experiencing decreased interest from US producers before tariffs. Brazil tallow prices for export last closed at $1,080/t on 28 March, rising about 4pc year-to-date amid support from the 45Z guidance and aid from Brazil's growing biodiesel industry, which is paying a hefty premium for tallow compared to exports. While the large majority of Brazilian tallow exports end up in the US, Australian suppliers have more flexibility and could send more volume to Singapore instead if tariffs deter US buyers. Export prices out of Australia peaked this year at $1,185/t on 4 March but have since trended lower to last close at $1,050/t on 1 April. In general, market participants say international tallow suppliers would have to drop offers to keep trade flows intact. Other policy shifts affect flows Even as US farm groups clamored for more muscular foreign feedstock limits over much of the last year, tallow had until now largely dodged any significant restrictions. Recent US guidance around 45Z treats all tallow, whether produced in the US or shipped long distances to reach the US, the same. Other foreign feedstocks were treated more harshly, with the same guidance providing no pathway at all for road fuels from foreign used cooking oil and also pinning the carbon intensity of canola oil — largely from Canada — as generally too high to claim any subsidy. But tariffs on major suppliers of tallow to the US, and the threat of additional charges if countries retaliate, could give refiners pause. Demand could rise for domestic animal fats or alternatively for domestic vegetable oils that can also be refined into fuel, especially if retaliatory tariffs cut off global markets for US farm products like soybean oil. There is also risk if Republicans in the Trump administration or Congress reshape rules around 45Z to penalize foreign feedstocks. At the same time, a minimum 10pc charge for tallow outside North America is a more manageable price to pay compared to other feedstocks — including a collection of charges amounting to a possible 69.5pc tax on Chinese used cooking oil. And if the US sets biofuel blend mandates as high as some oil and farm groups are pushing , strong demand could leave producers with little choice but to continue importing at least some feedstock from abroad to continue making fuel. Not all US renewable diesel producers will be equally impacted by tariffs either. Diamond Green Diesel operates Gulf Coast biorefineries in foreign-trade zones, which allow companies to avoid tariffs on foreign inputs for products that are ultimately exported. Biofuel producers in these zones could theoretically refine foreign tallow, claim a 45Z subsidy, and avoid feedstock tariffs as long as they ship the fuel abroad. Jurisdictions like the EU and UK, where sustainable aviation fuel mandates took effect this year, are attractive destinations. And there is still strong demand from the US food sector, with edible tallow prices in Chicago up 18pc so far this year. Trump allies, including his top health official, have pushed tallow as an alternative to seed oils. By Cole Martin and Jamuna Gautam Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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Mexico, Canada sidestep latest Trump tariffs: Update


03/04/25
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03/04/25

Mexico, Canada sidestep latest Trump tariffs: Update

Adds Canada reaction Mexico City, 3 April (Argus) — US president Donald Trump's sweeping tariff measures largely spared Mexico and Canada from additional penalties, as the US-Mexico-Canada free trade agreement (USMCA) will continue to exempt most commerce, including Mexico's energy exports. According to Trump's tariff announcement on Wednesday , all foreign imports into the US will be subject to a minimum 10pc tax starting on 5 April, with levels as high as 34pc for China and 20pc for the EU. Mexico and Canada are the US' closest trading partners and have seen tariffs imposed and then postponed several times this year, but remained mostly exempt from Trump's "reciprocal" tariffs. Energy and "certain minerals that are not available in the US" imported from all other countries also will be exempt from the tariffs. Trump also did not reimpose punitive tariffs on energy and other imports from Canada and Mexico. All products covered by the USMCA, which include energy commodities, are exempt as well. Yet steel and aluminum, cars, trucks and auto parts from Mexico and Canada remain subject to separate tariffs. Steel and aluminum imports are subject to 25pc, in effect since 12 March. The 25pc tariff on all imported cars and trucks will go into effect on Thursday, whereas a 25pc tax on auto parts will go into effect on 3 May. Mexico's president Claudia Sheinbaum this morning emphasized the "good relationship" and "mutual respect" between Mexico and the US, which she said was key to Trump's decision to prioritize the USMCA over potential further tariffs on Mexican imports. "So far, we have managed to reach a relatively more privileged position when it comes to these tariffs," Sheinbaum said. "Many of our industries are now exempt from tariffs. We aim to reach a better position regarding steel, aluminum and auto parts exports, too." The Mexican peso strengthened by 1.5pc against the US dollar in the wake of the tariff announcement, to Ps19.96/$1 by late morning on Thursday from Ps20.25/$1 on Wednesday. Mexico has not placed any tariffs on imports from the US, which may have eliminated the need for the US to reciprocate with tariffs. "In contrast to what will apply to 185 global economies, Mexico remains exempt from reciprocal tariffs," Mexico's economy minister Marcelo Ebrard said. Mexico exported 500,000 b/d of crude to the US last year, making the US by far the most important export market for the nation's commodity. Mexico also imports the majority of its motor fuels and LPG from the US. If US won't lead, Canada will: Carney To the north, Canada's prime minister says the US' latest trade actions will "rupture" the global economy. "The global economy is fundamentally different today than it was yesterday," said prime minister Mark Carney on Thursday while announcing retaliatory tariffs on auto imports from the US. Canada is matching the US with 25pc tariffs on all vehicles imported from the US that are not compliant with the USMCA, referred to as CUSMA in Canada. But unlike the US tariffs, which took effect Thursday, Canada's will not include auto parts. Automaker Stellantis has informed Unifor Local 444 that it is shutting down the Windsor Assembly Plant in Ontario for two weeks starting on 7 April, with the primary driver being Trump's tariffs. The closure will affect 3,600 workers. Trump on 2 April unveiled a chart of dozens of countries the US is targeting with new tariffs, but that lengthy list may also represent opportunity for Canada and Mexico, who have already been dealing with US trade action. "The world is waking up today to a reality that Canada has been living with for months," Canadian Chamber of Commerce president Candace Laing said, a reality which Carney views as an opportunity for his country. "Canada is ready to take a leadership role in building a coalition of like-minded countries who share our values," said Carney. "If the United States no longer wants to lead, Canada will." By Cas Biekmann and Brett Holmes Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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Trump to 'stand firm' on tariffs as markets crash


03/04/25
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03/04/25

Trump to 'stand firm' on tariffs as markets crash

Washington, 3 April (Argus) — President Donald Trump does not intend to back down from his plan for sweeping import tariffs that have already caused a sell-off in global equity markets and some commodities, administration officials say. The tariffs — which will start at 10pc for most imports on 5 April before steeper country-specific tariffs take effect on 9 April, with exceptions for some energy and mineral imports — have caused key stock indexes to drop by as much as 5pc, with even larger declines in crude futures, as investors brace for lower growth and a higher chance of a recession. Trump earlier today defended the tariffs, as he prepared to leave the White House for a dinner tonight at a golf tournament at one of his resorts in Florida. "THE OPERATION IS OVER! THE PATIENT LIVED, AND IS HEALING," Trump wrote in a social media post before major stock markets opened. Trump's cabinet has downplayed the short-term price effect of the tariffs, which they say will boost economic growth in the US and cause a resurgence in domestic manufacturing. US commerce secretary Howard Lutnick said he does not think there is "any chance" that Trump will rescind the tariffs, and said Trump will only begin to work on new trade deals once a country has "really, really changed their ways" on trade practices. "Trump is going to stand firm because he is reordering global trade," Lutnick said today in an interview with CNN. "Make no mistake about it, America has been exploited, and he is done allowing America to be exploited." Other administration officials have suggested a greater potential for lower tariffs in the near-term. US treasury secretary Scott Bessent has encouraged world leaders to "take a deep breath" and not to "panic" because the tariff rates that Trump announced were a "ceiling" that might come down, so long as there was no retaliation. "Don't immediately retaliate, let's see where this goes, because if you retaliate, that's how we get escalation," Bessent said on 2 April during interview on Fox News. The tariffs have caused bipartisan backlash on Capitol Hill, but so far legislative action has been symbolic and unlikely to become law. The US Senate, in a bipartisan vote on 2 April, approved a joint resolution that would end the justification Trump has used to put tariffs on Canada. US senators Chuck Grassley (R-Iowa) and Maria Cantwell (D-Washington) introduced a bill today to eliminate most new presidential tariffs after 60 days without approval by the US Congress. Democrats say the tariffs will force consumers to pay far more on everyday goods, with revenue offsetting Republican plans to provide more than $5 trillion in tax cuts. "Donald Trump is using tariffs in the dumbest way imaginable. In fact, Donald Trump slapped tariffs on penguins and not on Putin," US Senate minority leader Chuck Schumer (D-New York) said today, in reference to Trump's decision to put a 10pc tariff on an island populated only with penguins. Trump has claimed his country-specific tariffs are "reciprocal" even though they have no relation to the tariffs each country charges on US imports. Instead, Trump's tariffs were calculated based on a universal equation that is set at half of the country's trade deficit with the US, divided by the country's imports from the US, with a minimum tariff rate of 10pc. Major US trading partners are preparing for retaliatory tariffs. Canada's prime minister Mark Carney said he would respond to Trump's tariffs on automobiles, which took effect today, by "matching the US approach" and imposing a 25pc tariff on auto imports that do not comply with the US-Mexico-Canada free trade agreement. China said it was preparing unspecified countermeasures to US tariffs that would be set at 54pc. Trump's cabinet today dismissed the market reaction to the tariffs. Stock markets are going through a "short-term adjustment" but the tariffs will ultimately result in more growth and additional investments, US Small Business Administration administrator Kelly Loeffler said today in an interview on Fox News "The gravy train is over for the globalist elites," said Loeffler, who previously was a top executive at US exchange operator ICE. By Chris Knight Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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LNG faces limited direct disruption from US tariffs


03/04/25
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03/04/25

LNG faces limited direct disruption from US tariffs

London, 3 April (Argus) — New US trade tariffs announced on 2 April are unlikely to cause any direct disruption to the LNG market because global LNG demand has become more inelastic in the past three years. But market participants warned of recessionary pressure and indirect effects on gas demand. The key recipients of US LNG — the EU, Japan and South Korea, for example — may be considering responding to the new US trade policy with retaliatory tariffs, among other measures. But these are unlikely to include levies on US LNG imports, market participants said, which would limit any direct disruption on LNG trade flows in the Atlantic basin. Europe has become much more reliant on LNG imports after losing the bulk of Russian pipeline imports. Europe last year imported 45pc of its LNG from the US, according to ship-tracking data from analytics firm Vortexa. And the EU would need quick LNG imports to replace Russian supply and fill its underground storage facilities this summer, with its combined gas inventory level at 33pc on 31 March, according to transparency platform Aggregated Gas Storage Inventory. Traditional Asian importers such as Japan, South Korea and Taiwan are likely to seek an engagement approach other than direct retaliatory tariffs on US imports. US LNG purchases in the past often have been a means by which to reduce countries' trade surplus with the US. South Korea's energy minister expressed the country's interest in the 20mn t/yr Alaska LNG project in a visit in late March , while Taiwan's CPC signed an initial agreement for the project, according to Taiwan's Ministry of Economic Affairs . Emerging LNG importer Vietnam was considering reducing import taxes on US LNG to 2pc from the present 5pc, according to state-owned PV Gas. The possibility of increasing US LNG purchases in the future also may be a key element in potential trade negotiations with the US aimed at reducing the 46pc tariffs on imports from Vietnam announced on 2 April, according to market participants. LNG trade flows already had been reshuffled before the latest round of US tariffs, in light of China's retaliatory tariff of 15pc on US LNG imports. China halted LNG imports from the US in early February , by reselling its contracted US offtake in other markets and replacing it with cargoes of other origin, if needed. But the tariffs have destabilised economies around the world, particularly those with large trade surpluses with the US, which are likely to reduce gas and LNG demand in different geographies. Tariffs pose direct risks for US LNG projects US tariffs on steel and aluminum imports, imposed on 12 March, present an immediate risk for US LNG developers, particularly for the five projects currently under construction and the six others expected to reach final investment decisions in 2025. Metals represent up to 30pc of the cost of building an LNG export plant. Depending on the project's size, an LNG terminal could cost $5bn-$25bn, with steel used for pipelines, tanks and other structural frameworks. Although facilities can use some domestic supplies for construction, higher prices could result in delays to construction and final investment decisions in planned liquefaction projects ( see table ). Delays to the planned 18.1mn t/yr Golden Pass LNG facility have already underscored how rising costs can upend construction timelines. Zachry, a lead contractor in engineering, procurement and construction work for the facility, filed for bankruptcy last May and exited the project. Pandemic-related inflation and supply chain delays have caused costs to surge by $2.4bn from the original $9.25bn contract, the firm said . Golden Pass, which once targeted first LNG in the second half of last year, now expects its first production in late 2025 or early 2026 . NextDecade's 17.4mn t/yr Rio Grande LNG project in south Texas had bought only 69pc of supplies for trains 1-2 and only 33pc for train 3 by late February, making the three-train project particularly vulnerable to higher steel prices. Projects that are closer to completion may face less inflationary pressure. Equipment and materials needed for the seven-train expansion at Cheniere's Corpus Christi stage 3 were delivered, according to the firm in February . And 34 of 36 liquefaction trains at Venture Global's Plaquemines facility have been delivered on site, with the two remaining trains expected to arrive by the end of March, Venture global said last month . US LNG projects in pipeline Project Capacity ( mn t/yr ) Expected start/FID Under construction Plaquemines 19.2 2025 Corpus Christi stage 3 12.0 2025 Golden Pass 18.1 2026 Rio Grande 17.6 2027 Port Arthur 13.5 2027 Waiting for final investment decision Delfin FLNG 1 13.2 mid-2025 Texas LNG 4.0 2025 Calcasieu Pass 2 28.0 mid-2025 Corpus Christi train 8-9 3.3 2025 Louisiana LNG 16.5 mid-2025 Cameron train 4 6.8 mid-2025 — Argus Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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