Cop 27: Canada debuts carbon pricing initiative

Market: Emissions
15/11/22

Canada launched a global initiative today aimed at increasing the jurisdictions around the world that put a price on carbon.

The UK and Chile will also participate in the Canada-led Global Carbon Pricing Challenge, announced at the UN Cop 27 climate summit in Sharm El-Sheikh, Egypt.

The initiative is aiming for 60pc of global greenhouse gas emissions to be covered by a carbon price by 2030, up from around 23pc today. Canadian prime minister Justin Trudeau set a similar 60pc goal from last year.

Participating countries will monitor progress each year and share best practices. Canada says the initiative will work toward "strengthening existing systems and supporting emerging ones" and will create a "forum for dialogue and coordination to make pricing systems more effective and compatible."

Additional participants will be announced after Cop 27 ends, Environment and Climate Change Canada told Argus.

Canada has a federal fuel charge and a separate output-based pricing system for industry, which are both enforced in provinces that do not have their own similarly stringent programs. The country's carbon price is slated to rise from C$50/metric tonne ($37.62/t) this year to C$65/t next year and to C$170/t by 2030.

Canadian provinces have often pursued less ambitious carbon pricing plans, leading to a fragmented system where regional programs vary considerably in their effectiveness, according to a government report this year.

But as it prepares for new national benchmarks to take effect next year, the federal government has cracked down on provinces for insufficiently ambitious pricing schemes. For instance, Canada recently rebuffed Nova Scotia's plan to scrap carbon pricing altogether, potentially paving the way for the federal fuel charge to take effect there.

Environment and Climate Change Canada said it will make an announcement regarding its review of provincial carbon pricing proposals in the next two weeks.

By Cole Martin

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10/01/25

California governor eyes carbon market extension

Houston, 10 January (Argus) — California governor Gavin Newsom (D) is planning to start discussions with lawmakers to enact a formal extension of the state's cap-and-trade program. Newsom included the idea in the 2025-26 budget proposal he released on Friday. "The administration, in partnership with the legislature, will need to consider extending the cap-and-trade program beyond 2030 to achieve carbon neutrality," the governor's budget overview says. The California Air Resources Board (CARB) believes it has the authority to operate the program beyond 2030, but a legislative extension would put it on much firmer footing. The cap-and-trade program, which covers major sources of the state's greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions, including power plants and transportation fuels, requires a 40pc cut from 1990 levels by 2030. CARB is eyeing tightening that target to 48pc as part of a rulemaking that could take effect next year to help keep the state on a path to carbon neutrality by 2045. Newsom's budget proposal highlighted the need to weigh the revenue received from the program carbon allowance auctions. That money goes to the Greenhouse Gas Reduction Fund (GGRF), which supports the state's clean economy transition through programs targeting GHG emissions reductions, such as subsidizing purchases for zero-emission vehicles (ZEVs). The budget plan added few new climate commitments, instead prioritizing funding agreed to last year. The governor's $322.3bn 2025-26 budget proposal would continue cost-saving measures the state enacted in its 2024-25 budget to deal with a multi-billion-dollar deficit. These included shifting portions of expenditures from the state general fund to the GGRF over multiple budget years, such as $900mn for the state's Clean Energy Reliability Investment Plan. The state's $10bn Climate Bond, passed by voters in November 2024, would cover the majority of new climate-related spending, including taking on $32mn of the reliability plan spending. The change in funding source would allow the state Department of Motor Vehicles to utilize $81mn in GGRF funds to cover expenditures from CARB's Mobile Source Emissions Research Program. The governor's budget would also advance his proposal from October for CARB to evaluate allowing fuel blends with 15pc ethanol (E15) in the state, as a measure to lower gas prices. CARB would receive $2.3mn from Newsom's proposal to finish the multi-tier study it began in 2018 and implement the necessary regulatory changes to allow E15 at the pump. Currently, California allows only fuel blends with up to E10 because of environmental concerns, such as the potential for increased emissions of NOx, which contributes to smog, by allowing more ethanol. With the administration predicting a modest surplus of $363mn from higher state revenues, it is unlikely that California will return to the belt tightening of the past two state budgets. But the state cautions that tension with the incoming president-elect Donald Trump, potential import tariffs and ongoing state revenue volatility should leave California on guard for any potential future fiscal pitfalls. The state's legislature's non-partisan adviser cautioned in November that government spending continues to outpace revenues, with future deficits likely. The administration is keeping an eye on the issue, which could result in changes through the governor's May budget revision, state director of finance Joe Stephenshaw said. By Denise Cathey Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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US issues 45Z tax guidance for low-carbon fuels

10/01/25

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10/01/25

US issues 45Z tax guidance for low-carbon fuels

Washington, 10 January (Argus) — US producers of low-carbon fuels can start claiming the "45Z" tax credit providing up to $1/USG for road use and $1.75/USG for aviation, following the US Treasury Department's release today of proposed guidance for the credit. The guidance includes proposed regulations and other tools to determine the eligibility of fuels for the 45Z tax credit, which was created by the Inflation Reduction Act to replace a suite of incentives for biofuels that expired at the end of last year. Biofuel producers have been clamoring for guidance from the US Treasury Department so they can start claiming the tax credit, which is available for fuels produced from 1 January 2025 through the end of 2027. "This guidance will help put America on the cutting-edge of future innovation in aviation and renewable fuel while also lowering transportation costs for consumers," US deputy treasury secretary Wally Adeymo said. "Decarbonizing transportation and lowering costs is a win-win for America." The creation of the 45Z tax credit has already prompted a change in US biofuels markets by shifting federal subsidies from blenders to producers. Because the value of tax credit increases for fuels with the lowest lifecycle greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions, it could encourage refiners to source more waste feedstocks such as used cooking oil, rather than conventional crop-based feedstocks. While the guidance is still just a proposal, taxpayers are able to "immediately" use the guidance to claim the 45Z tax credit, until Treasury issues additional guidance, an administration official said. The guidance on 45Z released today affirms that only the producer for the fuel is eligible to claim the credit, not blenders. To be eligible for the tax credit, the fuel must have a "practical or commercial fitness for use in a highway vehicle or aircraft" by itself or when blended into a mixture, Treasury said. Marine diesel and methanol suitable for highway or aircraft use are also eligible for 45Z, as is renewable natural gas that can be used as a transportation fuel. Treasury also released an "annual emissions rate table" offering providers a methodology for determining the lifecycle GHG of fuel. Treasury said a key emissions model from the US Department of Energy, called 45ZCF-GREET, used to calculate the value of the 45Z tax credit is anticipated to be released today, although industry officials said it may be delayed until next week. Treasury said it intends to propose regulations at "a future date" for calculating the GHG emissions benefits of "climate smart agriculture" practices for "cultivating domestic corn, soybeans, and sorghum as feedstocks" for fuel. Those regulations could lower the calculated lifecycle emissions of fuel from those crop-based feedstocks and increase the relative 45Z tax credit. US biofuel producers said they are still awaiting key details on the 45Z tax credit, including the update to the GREET model. Among the outstanding questions is if the guidance released today provides "enough certainty to negotiate feedstock and fuel offtake agreements going forward", said the Clean Fuels America Alliance, an industry group that represents the biodiesel, renewable diesel and sustainable aviation fuel industries. It is unclear how president-elect Donald Trump intends to approach this proposed approach for the 45Z credit, which will be subject to a 90-day public comment period. Trump has promised to "rescind all unspent funds" from the Inflation Reduction Act. But outright repealing 45Z would leave biofuels producers and farmers without a subsidy they say is needed to sustain growth, after the expiration last year of a $1/USG blender tax credit and a tax credit of up to $1.75/USG for sustainable aviation fuel. Biofuel and soybean groups were unsuccessful in a push last year to extend the expiring biofuel tax credits. The 45Z credit is likely to be debated in Congress this year, as Republicans consider repealing parts of the Inflation Reduction Act. House Republicans have already asked for input on revisions to the 45Z credit, signaling they could modify the incentive. In a tightly divided Congress, farm-state lawmakers may hold enough leverage to ensure some type of biofuel incentive — and potentially one friendlier to agricultural producers than 45Z — survives. By Chris Knight and Cole Martin Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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Global agencies agree 2024 was hottest year recorded

10/01/25

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10/01/25

Global agencies agree 2024 was hottest year recorded

London, 10 January (Argus) — Six international science and weather institutions have separately found that 2024 was the hottest year on record, the World Meteorological Organisation (WMO) said today. The organisations co-ordinated to release their 2024 average temperature data on the same day, "to underline the exceptional conditions experienced during 2024," the WMO said. The WMO uses data from the six agencies — the UK's Met Office, Japan's Meteorological Agency (JMA), US non-profit Berkeley Earth, the EU's Copernicus and the US' National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) and National Aeronautics and Space Administration (Nasa). The global average surface temperature in 2024 was 1.55°C above the pre-industrial average, with a margin of uncertainty of 0.13°C either above or below that figure, WMO found in its analysis of the six datasets. This makes it "likely" that the world has experienced the first calendar year breaching the 1.5°C limit pursued by the Paris climate accord. Climate scientists use a timeframe of 1850-1900 for the pre-industrial average temperature. The Paris agreement seeks to limit global heating to "well below" 2°C above pre-industrial levels, and preferably to 1.5°C. All six datasets put 2024 as the hottest year on record and flag up the recent rate of warming, but "not all show the temperature anomaly above 1.5°C due to differing methodologies," WMO said. Copernicus found the global average temperature in 2024 was 1.6°C above pre-industrial levels. "Individual years pushing past the 1.5°C limit do not mean the long-term goal is shot," UN secretary-general Antonio Guterres said. "There's still time to avoid the worst of climate catastrophe. But leaders must act — now." He urged governments to submit new national climate action plans this year. The temperature limits sought by the Paris agreement work on a timeframe of 20 years or longer, Copernicus said. Long-term global warming is currently about 1.3°C above the pre-industrial baseline, a team of experts established by WMO found. "We've had not just one or two record-breaking years, but a full 10-year series," said WMO secretary-general Celeste Saulo. "This has been accompanied by devastating and extreme weather, rising sea levels and melting ice, all powered by record-breaking greenhouse gas levels due to human activities." The UK Met Office outlook finds that 2025 is likely to be one of the three warmest years, in terms of global average temperature, "falling in line just behind 2024 and 2023", it said today. By Georgia Gratton Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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2024 was hottest year on record: EU’s Copernicus

10/01/25

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10/01/25

2024 was hottest year on record: EU’s Copernicus

London, 10 January (Argus) — Last year was the hottest year globally since records began in 1850, and the first calendar year to breach the 1.5°C temperature limit sought by the Paris climate agreement, EU earth-monitoring service Copernicus said today. The global average surface air temperature in 2024 was 15.10°C — 0.12°C higher than previous hottest year 2023 and 0.72°C higher than the 1991-2020 average, Copernicus found. The global average temperature in 2024 was 1.6°C higher than an estimate of the pre-industrial average, Copernicus data show — the first calendar year to breach the temperature limit pursued by the Paris accord. The two-year average for 2023-24 "also exceeds this threshold", Copernicus said. The Paris agreement seeks to limit the rise in temperature to "well below" 2°C above pre-industrial levels, and preferably to 1.5°C. This "does not mean we have breached the limit set by the Paris agreement", which "refers to temperature anomalies averaged over at least 20 years", Copernicus said. But it "underscores that global temperatures are rising beyond what modern humans have ever experienced", the organisation added. Each year of the past decade — 2015-24 — was one of the hottest ten years on record. And every month since July 2023, apart from July 2024, has breached the 1.5°C level, Copernicus data show. Greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions "remain the main agent of climate change", director of Copernicus Atmosphere Monitoring Service Laurence Rouil said. GHG concentrations are the highest in at least 800,000 years, Copernicus said. Atmospheric concentrations of key GHGs CO2 and methane "continued to increase and reached record annual levels in 2024", it said. CO2 stood at 422 parts per million (ppm) and methane at 1,897 parts per billion (ppb) in 2024 — 2.9ppm and 3ppb higher on the year, respectively, Copernicus data show. While the rate of increase in CO2 "was larger than the rate observed in recent years", the rate of increase in methane was "significantly lower than in the last three years", Copernicus said. An international team of scientists said in November that carbon emissions from fossil fuels were projected to reach a fresh high in 2024 , with "no sign" that these have peaked. Global sea surface temperatures were also above average in 2024 and were a significant force behind the record high surface air temperatures, Copernicus said. Oceans absorb the majority of the world's excess heat. And the amount of water vapour in the atmosphere hit a fresh high in 2024, at around 5pc above the 1991-2020 average, Copernicus found. Climate change is worsening extreme weather events such as floods and storms, studies found. This "reflects the basic physics of climate change — a warmer atmosphere tends to hold more moisture, leading to heavier downpours", research groups World Weather Attribution and Climate Central said in December. By Georgia Gratton Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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US banks withdraw from global climate alliance

09/01/25

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09/01/25

US banks withdraw from global climate alliance

Washington, 9 January (Argus) — The six largest US banks have withdrawn from an industry-led group that works to align financing with a goal of reaching net-zero greenhouse gas emissions by 2050. With president-elect Donald Trump poised to return to the White House, JPMorgan Chase this week joined Bank of America, Citibank, Wells Fargo, Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley in pulling out of the Net Zero Banking Alliance (NZBA). All of the departures have occurred since climate skeptic Trump won re-election in November. JPMorgan did not give a reason for leaving the group it had joined in 2021 but said it was focused on "pragmatic solutions to help further low-carbon technologies while advancing energy security". The NZBA declined to comment on the departures. The bank-led NZBA launched in 2021, with a goal to align with industry's lending and investments with the goals of the Paris climate accord. Trump has promised to again pull the US out of the Paris agreement. The 144 banks that were members of the group as of last October were committed to align their portfolios with pathways to reach net-zero by 2050 or sooner. But critics said the industry group, which was convened by the UN, was effectively coordinating a boycott of investment with the oil and gas industry. Texas attorney general Ken Paxton in 2023 began reviewing JPMorgan and other US banks to see if their membership in the NZBA ran afoul of a state law that barred state entities from entering into contracts with banks that boycott the oil and gas sector. Paxton said the departure of banks from the group was a "major step in the right direction." Paxton's office said it had closed reviews of Wells Fargo, Bank of America, JP Morgan and Morgan Stanley. Trump has called climate change a hoax and recently said he wanted to impose a "policy where no windmills are being built". In response to the deadly wildfires across Los Angeles, Trump today blamed the crisis on California leaders and falsely claimed the US Federal Energy Management Agency has "no money — all wasted on the Green New Scam". By Chris Knight Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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