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Fuel oil bunkering to linger despite new GHG rule

  • Market: Oil products
  • 01/08/23

The International Maritime Organisation (IMO)'s revised greenhouse gas (GHG) regulation for marine fuel will dent residual fuel oil demand, but the market could persist on demand from oil tanker and dry bulk vessel owners, and on production from decarbonised petroleum refineries.

The IMO in July changed its marine fuel emissions directive from emissions from combustion (tank-to-wake) to lifecycle emissions (well-to-wake). Before that decision, ship owners were looking to mitigate emissions from fuel combustion only. Some were mulling installing sulphur oxide (SOx) and CO2-capturing scrubbers on board of their vessels, continuing to burn high-sulphur fuel oil (HSFO), and paying to dispose of the captured CO2. Following the IMO July ruling, ship owners also have to take into consideration well-to-tank emissions generated during refinery production and transportation of the fuel to a bunkering port.

IMO members agreed to reduce greenhouse gas emissions by at least 20pc, and preferably 30pc, by 2030; by at least 70pc, and preferably 80pc, by 2040; and to net zero by 2050, from 2008 base levels. If ship owners are able to dispose of their on-board captured CO2 and oil refiners can decarbonise their refineries at costs below the price of sustainable marine fuels, then residual fuel oil and marine gasoil (MGO) for bunkering demand could persist past 2040. Oil tanker and dry bulk carrier owners will likely be the two types of vessel owners to continue to burn fuel oil and MGO. They do not have the same customer and shareholder pressures to decarbonise compared with their counterparts from the container ship and cruise ship sectors.

Container shipping companies — including Maersk, Hapag-Lloyd, Ocean Network Express, CMA-CGM, Matson, and Evergreen — and cruise ship companies — including Royal Caribbean, Norwegian Cruise and Carnival — had pledged net zero emissions by 2050, even before the IMO rule change. These companies have been actively exploring the use of biofuels and are commissioning methanol-burning, methanol-ready and ammonia-ready vessels. Their investors and clients are likely to dismiss the idea of well-to-wake carbon-neutral fuel oil and MGO as a form of green washing and vote with their dollars to continue the course of sustainable fuels.

Container ships, bulk carriers and tankers were the biggest marine fuel consuming vessel categories. Internationally, containerships burned 61.7mn t residual fuel oil and MGO, while bulk carriers burned 57.9mn t and tankers burned 41.4mn t. Those volumes represent 31pc, 29pc and 21pc, respectively, of fuel oil and MGO demand, according to the latest IMO data, from 2021. Cruise ships burned 3.2mn t, or 2pc. IMO's marine fuel data collection system takes into account ships above 5,000 gross tonnes.

On a tank-to-wake basis, HSFO and very low-sulphur fuel oil (VLSFO) emit 3.114 grams of CO2 per gram of fuel (gCO2/g fuel) burned, according to IMO's guidelines on lifecycle greenhouse gas intensity of marine fuels. On a well-to-tank basis, HSFO emits 0.599 gCO2/g fuel and VLSFO emits 0.675 gCO2/g fuel, for total well-to-wake emissions of 3.713 and 3.789 gCO2/g fuel, respectively. MGO emits about 0.756 gCO2/g from well-to-tank and 3.206 gCO2/g from tank-to-wake for total of about 3.962 gCO2/g well-to-wake.

In July, carbon-free fuels such as B100 biodiesel, bio-methanol, green hydrogen and green ammonia were priced at 2, 4.4, 4.6 and 4.9 times the price of VLSFO in northwest Europe, Argus assessments showed.


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Gasoline price in southern Germany down on ample supply

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Hamburg, 24 February (Argus) — Suppliers in southern Germany are lowering gasoline prices compared with the nationwide average on ample supply and slow demand. Gasoline availability in Southern Germany has remained sufficient enough to cover local demand even though refinery outages hampered supply, because demand has remained slow, around Karlsruhe especially. This has forced some suppliers to keep prices well below the national average. Gasoline prices in the region have fallen significantly compared with the rest of the of Germany with discounts of over €2,20/100l in the past week. Production at the Bayernoil consortium's 215,000 b/d Vohburg-Neustadt refinery in Bavaria and the Miro joint venture's 310,000 b/d Karlsruhe refinery is still restricted. Both facilities experienced technical problems within days of each other at the end of January. While a third of Miro's production capacity is expected to remain offline until the beginning of March, the operators of the Bayernoil refinery began the process of bringing the affected units back online on Sunday. Meanwhile, suppliers in Cologne are selling gasoline with a premium of up to €1,60/100l to the national average. This sudden price jump points toward reduced availability at Shell's 334,000 b/d Rhineland refinery complex. Although traders in the region have not reported any gasoline shortages, the upcoming end of crude refining at the 147,000 b/d Wesseling plant of the Rhineland refinery in March could already be having an effect on prices. By Natalie Muller Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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Grangemouth refinery site to get $253mn in public funds


24/02/25
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24/02/25

Grangemouth refinery site to get $253mn in public funds

Edinburgh, 24 February (Argus) — The UK government has committed £200mn ($253mn) for investment in clean energy for the site where UK-Chinese firm Petroineos' 150,000 b/d Grangemouth refinery, due to be permanently shut this year, is located. The government said on 23 February that it will work alongside private sector partners to develop new industries and leverage additional funding through the £200mn in public investment allocated from the UK's National Wealth Fund (NWF). The NWF was set up last year by the government to support investment in clean energy industries and mobilise private sector involvement across the UK. "The funding will be available for co-investment with the private sector to help unlock Grangemouth's full potential and secure our clean energy future," UK prime minister Keir Starmer said. Petroineos is planning to close the Grangemouth refinery in Scotland, this year and turn it into an import terminal because of high costs and declining fuel demand in Europe. Refineries in Europe have long faced competitiveness issues from larger and newer refineries in other regions including the Mideast Gulf, Asia-Pacific and Africa. Around 30 refineries have closed in Europe since 2000, while 2.5mn b/d of crude distillation capacity was added outside the region in the past three years alone. Only around 65 workers will be retained by Petroineos to run the terminal once the Grangemouth refinery closes. The government committed to provide a training guarantee for the staff at the refinery to gain new skills at local colleges. UK union Unite welcomed the announcement, saying that the "significant investment should be the start of a real industrial plan for Grangemouth that both safeguards Scotland's energy security and delivers the jobs of the future." But the union warned that clear timescales for the development of Grangemouth and details on jobs were needed. Unite is supporting the conversion of the refinery into a biorefinery for the production of sustainable aviation fuel (SAF). Petroineos said last year that it did not deem the refinery conversion viable, after having considered it. The firm did not immediately reply to a request for comment following the release of the new government funding. The UK government announcement comes after Scotland's first minister John Swinney committed to allocate £25mn from the proceeds of the Scottish offshore wind leasing round ScotWind to establish a just transition fund for Grangemouth. "The aim is to expedite any of the potential solutions that will be set out in the Project Willow report, as well as other proposals that will give Grangemouth a secure and sustainable future," he said last week. Project Willow is a feasibility study commissioned by the UK and Scottish governments to identify long-term industrial options for the site. The report is due to be released this spring. By Caroline Varin Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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Republicans target US energy rules for disapproval


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21/02/25

Republicans target US energy rules for disapproval

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Atoba to offtake SAF from Haffner Energy in France


21/02/25
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21/02/25

Atoba to offtake SAF from Haffner Energy in France

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Oil, biofuel lobbies unite for ‘robust’ RFS: Update


20/02/25
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20/02/25

Oil, biofuel lobbies unite for ‘robust’ RFS: Update

Updates with comments from trade groups, details throughout. New York, 20 February (Argus) — Oil and biofuel groups, at loggerheads years ago over the federal Renewable Fuel Standard (RFS), have united around a call for US regulators to set "robust" biofuel blend mandates for future years. A diverse coalition of 11 trade associations — including the American Petroleum Institute, Clean Fuels Alliance America, farm groups, and fuel marketers — said in a Wednesday letter to the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) that the RFS is a way to "advance liquid fuels" and "ensure consumers have a choice of how they fuel their vehicles". They want EPA, which is behind schedule on setting volume mandates for 2026, to set multiyear standards that better reflect recent growth in feedstock availability and production capacity than past RFS regulations. "We're trying to send a signal to the administration: hey, we're in more agreement than we used to be," American Petroleum Institute vice president of downstream policy Will Hupman told Argus . "We want to work constructively with you on this. We understand we're going to need all energy sources and supplies." The letter reflects the increasingly aligning interests of groups that formerly split over biofuels. Many oil companies that opposed the RFS in its early years have since invested heavily in fuels like renewable diesel, making strong government biofuel mandates crucial for their businesses, too. And producers of petroleum and biofuel products alike fear that rising electric vehicle adoption, aided by policies during the administration of President Joe Biden, could curb liquid fuel demand. It is unclear how durable any coalition of oil, biofuel, and farm groups will prove, especially for more divisive issues like RFS exemptions for small refineries. The oil industry is not united either, since small merchant refiners with less ability to blend biofuels have generally been more hostile to the RFS than larger integrated companies. The American Fuel and Petrochemical Manufacturers, which did not sign the letter, said that it looks forward "to engaging with EPA and other stakeholders to set realistic and achievable RFS standards anchored in the law". Still, the letter reflects some attempt among the signatories to downplay disagreements that surfaced around past RFS rules, signaling to President Donald Trump's administration that it need not delay program updates. The groups say they support, for instance, "strong, steady volumes" of not just biomass-based diesel and advanced biofuels but conventional biofuels too. While refiners can meet conventional obligations by blending excess amounts of lower-carbon fuels from other program categories, oil interests have previously criticized EPA for setting conventional requirements above expected corn ethanol consumption. The prior US administration set a plan for proposing new RFS volumes next month and finalizing them by the end of 2025 , though it is unclear whether Trump officials plan to meet that timeline. Two biofuel groups have sued EPA over its delays setting new mandates, a process which in the past has resulted in the government and industry coming to a negotiated agreement around a new timeline. Under the RFS program, EPA sets annual mandates for blending different types of biofuels into the conventional fuel supply. Refiners comply by blending biofuels themselves or buying credits from those who do. By Cole Martin Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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